FA Cup
CreweHomeWWLLD
Sat 7 Nov
AFC WimbledonAwayLLDLL382735
Crewe winDrawAFC Wimbledon win
CreweHomeWWLLDAFC WimbledonAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.62 1.34 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 38% Crewe
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.53 | 3.32 | 2.64 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.53 | 3.32 | 2.64 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.53 | 3.32 | 2.64 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Crewe to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction: Crewe 2.53 (Melbet), draw 3.32 (Melbet), AFC Wimbledon 2.64 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.79 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (22Bet) and no 2.00 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Crewe or AFC Wimbledon (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Crewe, full-time Crewe
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction, who wins and at what price
The Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. FA Cup on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives Crewe a 38% chance, AFC Wimbledon 35% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.34 for Crewe and 1.28 for AFC Wimbledon, a total of 2.62, which puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is crewe or AFC Wimbledon (no draw) at 73%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Crewe stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; AFC Wimbledon show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
On the goal lines Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon reads 74% for over 1.5, 48% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 52%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.79 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Crewe scoring in 74% of runs and AFC Wimbledon in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Crewe and 26% for AFC Wimbledon.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%, followed by 1-0 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Crewe, full-time Crewe leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Crewe to win38%2.53
Draw27%3.32
AFC Wimbledon to win35%2.64
Crewe, draw no bet52%fair 1.93
AFC Wimbledon, draw no bet48%fair 2.07
Double chance
Crewe or draw65%1.44
AFC Wimbledon or draw63%1.47
Crewe or AFC Wimbledon (no draw)73%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.95
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals52%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.73
Not both teams to score46%2.00
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
Crewe to score74%fair 1.36
AFC Wimbledon to score72%fair 1.39
Crewe clean sheet28%fair 3.60
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Crewe to win to nil26%fair 3.91
AFC Wimbledon to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-09.8%
0-19.3%
2-18.4%
1-28%
0-07.3%
Half-time / full-time
Crewe / Crewe22.5%
AFC Wimbledon / AFC Wimbledon20.6%
Draw / Draw16%
Draw / Crewe13.6%
Draw / AFC Wimbledon12.8%
Questions about Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
Who will win Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model gives Crewe the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Crewe find the net in 74% of simulated matches and AFC Wimbledon in 72%.
What time does Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon kick off?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.