FA Cup
BarnsleyHomeLLLLD
Sat 7 Nov
Aldershot TownAwayDWLLW76159
Barnsley winDrawAldershot Town win
BarnsleyHomeLLLLDAldershot TownAwayDWLLW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.46 2.63 : 0.83
- Favourite
- 76% Barnsley
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.27 | 5.85 | 8.90 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.27 | 5.85 | 8.90 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.27 | 5.85 | 8.90 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.80 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Barnsley to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction: Barnsley 1.27 (22Bet), draw 5.85 (22Bet), Aldershot Town 8.90 (22Bet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.52 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.91 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Barnsley to win
Double chanceBarnsley or draw
90% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Barnsley, full-time Barnsley
53% chance1.89fair
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction
Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction and best bet
Barnsley are the clear favourite in the Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction, rated 76% to win this FA Cup match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Aldershot Town sit at 10% and the draw at 15%.
Barnsley are expected to score 2.63 and Aldershot Town 0.83, so the total line is 3.46 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 52%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town is barnsley to win, a 76% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, barnsley or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.04.
The draw sits at only 15%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Barnsley have won 0 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Aldershot Town 2 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 5.
Goals forecast for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 34% and under 3.5 55%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 22Bet pay 1.41.
BTTS yes stands at 52%. Barnsley score in 93% of simulations against a 7% clean sheet for Aldershot Town; Aldershot Town score in 56% while Barnsley shut them out 44% of the time.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 10.9%, then 3-0 at 9.5% and 2-1 at 9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Barnsley, full-time Barnsley leads at 53%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Barnsley vs Aldershot Town
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Barnsley to win76%1.27
Draw15%5.85
Aldershot Town to win10%8.90
Barnsley, draw no bet89%fair 1.13
Aldershot Town, draw no bet12%fair 8.70
Double chance
Barnsley or draw90%1.04
Aldershot Town or draw25%3.53
Barnsley or Aldershot Town (no draw)85%1.11
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.41
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.20
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.75
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.09
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.80
Not both teams to score48%1.91
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.17
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Barnsley to score93%fair 1.08
Aldershot Town to score56%fair 1.77
Barnsley clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Aldershot Town clean sheet7%fair 13.89
Barnsley to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Aldershot Town to win to nil7%fair 15.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.9%
3-09.5%
2-19%
1-08.3%
3-17.9%
1-16.9%
Half-time / full-time
Barnsley / Barnsley52.8%
Draw / Barnsley19.5%
Draw / Draw8.3%
Aldershot Town / Aldershot Town5.1%
Draw / Aldershot Town3.6%
Questions about Barnsley vs Aldershot Town
Who will win Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
The model gives Barnsley the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 15%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Aldershot Town?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Barnsley find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Aldershot Town in 56%.
When do Barnsley play Aldershot Town?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.