Egypt Second League
Baladiyyat Al MehallaHomeWLWDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
AL Nasr SCAwayWDWDL363331
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla winDrawAL Nasr SC win
Baladiyyat Al MehallaHomeWLWDWAL Nasr SCAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.04 1.06 : 0.98
- Favourite
- 36% Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.44 | 2.75 | 2.98 | 2.81 | 1.36 | 2.22 | 1.56 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.47 | 2.74 | 2.95 | 2.65 | 1.40 | 2.13 | 1.61 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.46 | 3.18 | 2.77 | 2.42 | 1.50 | 2.25 | 1.57 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.47 | 2.74 | 2.95 | 2.65 | 1.40 | 2.13 | 1.61 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC are 2.47 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla at Melbet, 3.18 for the draw at Betwinner and 2.98 for AL Nasr SC at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.50 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.25 (Betwinner) and no 1.61 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
69%
Our prediction
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fair
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC prediction
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC prediction and best bet
The Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Egypt Second League on Friday, 30 October 2026 gives Baladiyyat Al Mehalla a 36% chance, AL Nasr SC 31% and the draw 33%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.06 for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 0.98 for AL Nasr SC, a total of 2.04, which puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams to score at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw at 69%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.39. That price implies 72%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC.
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have won 3 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 3 conceded, AL Nasr SC 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 61%, over 2.5 at 33%, over 3.5 at 15%; under 2.5 is 67% and under 3.5 is 85%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.50 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 42%. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for AL Nasr SC; AL Nasr SC score in 63% while Baladiyyat Al Mehalla shut them out 38% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%, followed by 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (13%).
With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 60%.
Every market for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC
The grid built from 1.06 and 0.98 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win36%2.47
Draw33%3.18
AL Nasr SC to win31%2.98
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
AL Nasr SC, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Double chance
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or draw69%1.39
AL Nasr SC or draw64%1.48
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla or AL Nasr SC (no draw)67%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%2.81
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.67
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.86
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.53
Under 2.5 goals67%1.50
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.25
Not both teams to score58%1.61
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.27
Second-half goal67%fair 1.48
Team goals
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to score65%fair 1.53
AL Nasr SC to score63%fair 1.60
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla clean sheet38%fair 2.67
AL Nasr SC clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla to win to nil33%fair 3.02
AL Nasr SC to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-013.8%
1-113.5%
0-013%
0-112.7%
2-07.3%
2-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw21.3%
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla / Baladiyyat Al Mehalla20.9%
AL Nasr SC / AL Nasr SC18.3%
Draw / Baladiyyat Al Mehalla14.4%
Draw / AL Nasr SC13.1%
Questions about Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC
Who is favourite in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
The model gives Baladiyyat Al Mehalla the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla find the net in 65% of simulated matches and AL Nasr SC in 63%.
When do Baladiyyat Al Mehalla play AL Nasr SC?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs AL Nasr SC starts at 12:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.