Egypt Premier League
Ghazl El MehallaHomeLWW
2:1Half-time 2:0
Al IttihadAwayWLD253540
Ghazl El Mehalla winDrawAl Ittihad win
Ghazl El MehallaHomeLWWAl IttihadAwayWLD- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.82 0.77 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 40% Al Ittihad
- Over 2.5 goals
- 27% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.48 | 2.52 | 2.37 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.38 | 1.51 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Ittihad to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad are 3.48 for Ghazl El Mehalla at 1xBet, 2.52 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.37 for Al Ittihad at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.30 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (1xBet) and no 1.51 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Al Ittihad or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
73% chance1.30
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
54% chance1.84fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
17% chance5.88fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
56% chance1.79fair
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad prediction
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad prediction and best bet
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad prediction for the Egypt Premier League on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Al Ittihad marginally ahead at 40%, with the draw at 35% and Ghazl El Mehalla at 25%.
Expected goals are 0.77 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.05 for Al Ittihad, a total of 1.82, which puts over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams to score at 37%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad is al Ittihad or draw, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Ghazl El Mehalla average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded across their last 3, Al Ittihad 1.0 and 1.0 across 3.
A low-scoring Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 73% and under 3.5 89%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 54% and over 2.5 at 27%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%; 1xBet pay 1.30.
The chance of both teams scoring is 37%, built from Ghazl El Mehalla scoring in 54% of runs and Al Ittihad in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Ghazl El Mehalla and 46% for Al Ittihad.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad: 0-1 (17%), 0-0 (16.2%) and 1-1 (13.1%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 56%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 25% / 35% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ghazl El Mehalla to win25%3.48
Draw35%2.52
Al Ittihad to win40%2.37
Ghazl El Mehalla, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
Al Ittihad, draw no bet62%fair 1.62
Double chance
Ghazl El Mehalla or draw60%1.46
Al Ittihad or draw75%1.22
Ghazl El Mehalla or Al Ittihad (no draw)65%1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 1.5 goals54%fair 1.84
Over 2.5 goals27%2.97
Over 3.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 26.32
Under 1.5 goals46%fair 2.19
Under 2.5 goals73%1.30
Under 3.5 goals89%fair 1.13
BTTS
Both teams to score37%2.38
Not both teams to score63%1.51
Halves
First-half goal56%fair 1.79
Over 1.5 first-half goals20%fair 5.05
Second-half goal63%fair 1.58
Team goals
Ghazl El Mehalla to score54%fair 1.86
Al Ittihad to score65%fair 1.54
Ghazl El Mehalla clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Al Ittihad clean sheet46%fair 2.16
Ghazl El Mehalla to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Al Ittihad to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.05
Even number of goals51%fair 1.95
Most likely scores
0-117%
0-016.2%
1-113.1%
1-012.5%
0-28.9%
1-26.9%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw23.9%
Al Ittihad / Al Ittihad23.6%
Draw / Al Ittihad16.5%
Ghazl El Mehalla / Ghazl El Mehalla14.2%
Draw / Ghazl El Mehalla11.2%
Questions about Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The model gives Al Ittihad the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 17%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 27% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. Ghazl El Mehalla find the net in 54% of simulated matches and Al Ittihad in 65%.
What time does Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad kick off?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.