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Live 34 UTC
Egypt Premier League Round 8 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
Abu Qair SemadHomeLDL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Ghazl El MehallaAwayLWW
313534
Abu Qair Semad winDrawGhazl El Mehalla win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
1.93
0.94 : 0.99
Favourite
34%
Ghazl El Mehalla
Over 2.5 goals
30%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
2
in the odds table

Best odds for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.892.582.602.811.332.251.56Bet
22Bet2.992.742.712.971.372.281.59Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ghazl El Mehalla to win partner prices

22Bet pay the best Abu Qair Semad price at 2.99, 22Bet lead the draw at 2.74 and 22Bet have Ghazl El Mehalla longest at 2.71.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.37 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (22Bet) and no 1.59 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

69%

Our prediction

Ghazl El Mehalla or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.94 : 0.99-6.2% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.37
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.74fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.42fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.72fair

Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction

Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction, who wins and at what price

Nothing separates the sides in the Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 31% home, 35% draw and 34% away in the Egypt Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Abu Qair Semad are expected to score 0.94 and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.99, so the total line is 1.93 goals; over 2.5 lands at 30% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is ghazl El Mehalla or draw at 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 22Bet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Abu Qair Semad average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 3, Ghazl El Mehalla 1.0 and 0.7 across 3.

A low-scoring Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 70% and under 3.5 87%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 58% and over 2.5 at 30%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.37 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 40%. Abu Qair Semad score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Ghazl El Mehalla; Ghazl El Mehalla score in 63% while Abu Qair Semad shut them out 37% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 14.5%, followed by 0-1 (14.4%) and 1-0 (13.6%).

With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 35% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Abu Qair Semad to win31%2.99
Draw35%2.74
Ghazl El Mehalla to win34%2.71
Abu Qair Semad, draw no bet48%fair 2.09
Ghazl El Mehalla, draw no bet52%fair 1.92

Double chance

Abu Qair Semad or draw66%1.43
Ghazl El Mehalla or draw69%1.36
Abu Qair Semad or Ghazl El Mehalla (no draw)65%1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.74
Over 2.5 goals30%2.97
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.69
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Under 2.5 goals70%1.37
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.28
Not both teams to score60%1.59

Halves

First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.63
Second-half goal65%fair 1.53

Team goals

Abu Qair Semad to score61%fair 1.64
Ghazl El Mehalla to score63%fair 1.59
Abu Qair Semad clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Ghazl El Mehalla clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Abu Qair Semad to win to nil29%fair 3.51
Ghazl El Mehalla to win to nil31%fair 3.22

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

0-014.5%
0-114.4%
1-013.6%
1-113.5%
0-27.1%
1-26.7%

Half-time / full-time

Draw / Draw22.6%
Ghazl El Mehalla / Ghazl El Mehalla19.9%
Abu Qair Semad / Abu Qair Semad18.3%
Draw / Ghazl El Mehalla14.3%
Draw / Abu Qair Semad13.4%

Questions about Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla

Who will win Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

The model gives Ghazl El Mehalla the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla correct score: what does the model say?

0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 30%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Abu Qair Semad find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Ghazl El Mehalla in 63%.

When is Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Abu Qair Semad v Ghazl El MehallaGhazl El Mehalla or draw, 69%
1.36Bet