Abu Qair SemadHomeLDL
Ghazl El MehallaAwayLWW
Abu Qair SemadHomeLDL
Ghazl El MehallaAwayLWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.89 | 2.58 | 2.60 | 2.81 | 1.33 | 2.25 | 1.56 | Bet | |
| 2.99 | 2.74 | 2.71 | 2.97 | 1.37 | 2.28 | 1.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
22Bet pay the best Abu Qair Semad price at 2.99, 22Bet lead the draw at 2.74 and 22Bet have Ghazl El Mehalla longest at 2.71.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.37 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (22Bet) and no 1.59 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
Nothing separates the sides in the Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 31% home, 35% draw and 34% away in the Egypt Premier League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Abu Qair Semad are expected to score 0.94 and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.99, so the total line is 1.93 goals; over 2.5 lands at 30% and BTTS at 40%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is ghazl El Mehalla or draw at 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 22Bet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 35%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Abu Qair Semad average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 3, Ghazl El Mehalla 1.0 and 0.7 across 3.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 70% and under 3.5 87%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 58% and over 2.5 at 30%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.37 at 22Bet.
BTTS yes stands at 40%. Abu Qair Semad score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Ghazl El Mehalla; Ghazl El Mehalla score in 63% while Abu Qair Semad shut them out 37% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 14.5%, followed by 0-1 (14.4%) and 1-0 (13.6%).
With the top scoreline at 14.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 35% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Ghazl El Mehalla the best chance at 34%, with the draw at 35%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 30%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Abu Qair Semad find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Ghazl El Mehalla in 63%.
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.