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Live 21 UTC
Cyprus Cup Round of 32 Wednesday, 21 October 2026 FT
Nea SalamisHomeLLWDL
4:0Half-time 1:0
APEAAwayDWLWL
83125
Nea Salamis winDrawAPEA win
Kick-off
Wed 21 Oct
Expected goals
3.20
2.66 : 0.54
Favourite
83%
Nea Salamis
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
40%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Nea Salamis vs APEA betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.155.7013.501.542.272.201.57Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Nea Salamis to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Nea Salamis vs APEA are 1.15 for Nea Salamis at 1xBet, 5.70 for the draw at 1xBet and 13.50 for APEA at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 89.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.54 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.20 (1xBet) and no 1.57 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

83%

Our prediction

Nea Salamis to win
BankerExpected goals 2.66 : 0.54-5% against the best price
Double chanceNea Salamis or draw
95% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.54
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nea Salamis, full-time Nea Salamis
59% chance1.70fair

Nea Salamis vs APEA prediction

Nea Salamis vs APEA prediction and best bet

Nea Salamis vs APEA prediction for the Cyprus Cup on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Nea Salamis a strong favourite at 83%, with the draw at 12% and APEA at 5%.

Nea Salamis are expected to score 2.66 and APEA 0.54, so the total line is 3.20 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 40%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is nea Salamis to win at 83%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.15. That price implies 87%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nea Salamis vs APEA.

Nea Salamis or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 95% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 12%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Nea Salamis stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; APEA show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Nea Salamis vs APEA over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 60%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.54.

Both teams to score is 40%: Nea Salamis find the net in 93% of simulated matches and APEA in 42%. Nea Salamis keep a clean sheet 58% of the time and APEA 7%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.4%, followed by 3-0 (12.8%) and 1-0 (10.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nea Salamis, full-time Nea Salamis leads at 59%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Nea Salamis vs APEA

The grid built from 2.66 and 0.54 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Nea Salamis to win83%1.15
Draw12%5.70
APEA to win5%13.50
Nea Salamis, draw no bet94%fair 1.06
APEA, draw no bet6%fair 16.39

Double chance

Nea Salamis or draw95%-
APEA or draw17%4.01
Nea Salamis or APEA (no draw)88%1.06

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.54
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.52
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.81
Under 2.5 goals39%2.27
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.66

BTTS

Both teams to score40%2.20
Not both teams to score60%1.57

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.37
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

Nea Salamis to score93%fair 1.08
APEA to score42%fair 2.40
Nea Salamis clean sheet58%fair 1.72
APEA clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Nea Salamis to win to nil54%fair 1.87
APEA to win to nil5%fair 20.00

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-014.4%
3-012.8%
1-010.8%
4-08.5%
2-17.8%
3-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Nea Salamis / Nea Salamis58.8%
Draw / Nea Salamis20.9%
Draw / Draw7.9%
APEA / APEA2.7%
APEA / Nea Salamis2.5%

Questions about Nea Salamis vs APEA

Who is favourite in Nea Salamis vs APEA?

The model gives Nea Salamis the best chance at 83%, with the draw at 12%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Nea Salamis vs APEA?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.

Nea Salamis vs APEA both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. Nea Salamis find the net in 93% of simulated matches and APEA in 42%.

What time does Nea Salamis vs APEA kick off?

Nea Salamis vs APEA starts at 15:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Nea Salamis v APEANea Salamis to win, 83%
1.15Bet