Cyprus Cup
AEK LarnacaHomeWDWWD
3:2Half-time 1:1
AkritasAwayLDLWL9451
AEK Larnaca winDrawAkritas win
AEK LarnacaHomeWDWWDAkritasAwayLDLWL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.54 4.05 : 0.49
- Favourite
- 94% AEK Larnaca
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 37% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.01 | 9.90 | 31.00 | 1.20 | 3.72 | 2.34 | 1.51 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
AEK Larnaca to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best AEK Larnaca price at 1.01, 1xBet lead the draw at 9.90 and 1xBet have Akritas longest at 31.00.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.20 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.34 (1xBet) and no 1.51 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
94%
Our prediction
AEK Larnaca to win
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
80% chance1.20
BTTSNot both teams to score
63% chance1.51
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 4-0
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AEK Larnaca, full-time AEK Larnaca
76% chance1.32fair
AEK Larnaca vs Akritas prediction
Our AEK Larnaca vs Akritas prediction and pick
The AEK Larnaca vs Akritas prediction leans to AEK Larnaca: 94% against 1% for Akritas, with 5% left for the draw, in the Cyprus Cup on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 4.54 in total, split 4.05 to AEK Larnaca and 0.49 to Akritas. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 80% and both teams to score 37%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is aEK Larnaca to win at 94%. The best price in our comparison is 1.01 at 1xBet, which implies 99%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AEK Larnaca vs Akritas.
For a safer line, aEK Larnaca or draw covers 99% of outcomes at -.
The draw sits at only 5%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
AEK Larnaca average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Akritas 1.0 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals forecast for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 93%, over 2.5 at 80%, over 3.5 at 66%; under 2.5 is 20% and under 3.5 is 34%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 80%; 1xBet pay 1.20.
BTTS yes stands at 37%. AEK Larnaca score in 98% of simulations against a 2% clean sheet for Akritas; Akritas score in 39% while AEK Larnaca shut them out 61% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas: 4-0 (12%), 3-0 (11.8%) and 5-0 (9.7%).
With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time AEK Larnaca, full-time AEK Larnaca leads at 76%. A goal before the break is rated 87%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for AEK Larnaca vs Akritas
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 94% / 5% / 1% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win94%1.01
Draw5%9.90
Akritas to win1%31.00
AEK Larnaca, draw no bet99%fair 1.02
Akritas, draw no bet2%fair 66.67
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw99%-
Akritas or draw6%7.50
AEK Larnaca or Akritas (no draw)95%-
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals80%1.20
Over 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 4.5 goals47%fair 2.14
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 14.71
Under 2.5 goals20%3.72
Under 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
BTTS
Both teams to score37%2.34
Not both teams to score63%1.51
Halves
First-half goal87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 first-half goals61%fair 1.65
Second-half goal92%fair 1.09
Team goals
AEK Larnaca to score98%fair 1.02
Akritas to score39%fair 2.58
AEK Larnaca clean sheet61%fair 1.63
Akritas clean sheet2%fair 58.82
AEK Larnaca to win to nil56%fair 1.77
Akritas to win to nil1%fair 76.92
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
4-012%
3-011.8%
5-09.7%
2-08.8%
4-15.9%
3-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
AEK Larnaca / AEK Larnaca75.5%
Draw / AEK Larnaca15.3%
Draw / Draw2.6%
Akritas / AEK Larnaca2.1%
Akritas / Draw0.9%
Questions about AEK Larnaca vs Akritas
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
The model gives AEK Larnaca the best chance at 94%, with the draw at 5%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
4-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 80% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in AEK Larnaca vs Akritas?
The BTTS yes line is rated 37%. AEK Larnaca find the net in 98% of simulated matches and Akritas in 39%.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Akritas and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.