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Live 23 UTC
2. Division Round 5 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
APEAHomeDWLWL
2:0Half-time 1:0
ErmisAwayLWWLL
432829
APEA winDrawErmis win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.46
1.36 : 1.10
Favourite
43%
APEA
Over 2.5 goals
44%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

APEA vs Ermis betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.123.153.122.011.691.791.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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APEA to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for APEA vs Ermis are 2.12 for APEA at 1xBet, 3.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.12 for Ermis at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (1xBet) and no 1.88 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

72%

Our prediction

APEA or Ermis (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.36 : 1.10-8.9% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time APEA, full-time APEA
25% chance3.95fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair

APEA vs Ermis prediction

APEA vs Ermis prediction and best bet

APEA are marginally ahead in the APEA vs Ermis prediction, rated 43% to win this 2. Division match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Ermis sit at 30% and the draw at 28%.

The goal expectancy is 2.46 in total, split 1.36 to APEA and 1.10 to Ermis. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 51%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for APEA vs Ermis is aPEA or Ermis (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

APEA average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Ermis 1.0 and 1.2 across 5.

A low-scoring APEA vs Ermis? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines APEA vs Ermis reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 51%: APEA find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Ermis in 67%. APEA keep a clean sheet 33% of the time and Ermis 26%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 1-0 (11.6%) and 0-1 (9.4%).

With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for APEA vs Ermis; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time APEA, full-time APEA is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

Every market rated for APEA vs Ermis

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for APEA vs Ermis, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

APEA to win43%2.12
Draw28%3.15
Ermis to win30%3.12
APEA, draw no bet59%fair 1.70
Ermis, draw no bet41%fair 2.43

Double chance

APEA or draw70%1.27
Ermis or draw57%1.57
APEA or Ermis (no draw)72%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.01
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.69
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.79
Not both teams to score49%1.88

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35

Team goals

APEA to score74%fair 1.35
Ermis to score67%fair 1.50
APEA clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Ermis clean sheet26%fair 3.89
APEA to win to nil31%fair 3.27
Ermis to win to nil24%fair 4.24

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-011.6%
0-19.4%
2-18.7%
0-08.5%
2-07.9%

Half-time / full-time

APEA / APEA25.3%
Ermis / Ermis17.1%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / APEA15.3%
Draw / Ermis11.5%

Questions about APEA vs Ermis

Who is favourite in APEA vs Ermis?

The model gives APEA the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in APEA vs Ermis?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in APEA vs Ermis?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. APEA find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Ermis in 67%.

When is APEA vs Ermis and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, APEA v ErmisAPEA or Ermis (no draw), 72%
1.26Bet