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Live 11 UTC
Colombia Primera B Clausura - Quadrangular - 1 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
Tigres FCHomeDDLDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
Real CartagenaAwayDDWDD
303139
Tigres FC winDrawReal Cartagena win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.24
1.04 : 1.20
Favourite
39%
Real Cartagena
Over 2.5 goals
38%
model chance
Both teams to score
48%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.002.922.322.241.551.921.77Bet
22Bet2.813.112.562.311.572.111.68Bet
Betwinner2.743.102.622.221.622.021.74Bet
Melbet2.743.102.622.221.622.021.74Bet
Stake2.853.052.422.231.531.931.72Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Real Cartagena to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena prediction: Tigres FC 3.00 (1xBet), draw 3.11 (22Bet), Real Cartagena 2.62 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.62 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 2.11 (22Bet) and no 1.77 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

Real Cartagena or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.04 : 1.20-1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
62% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.53fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Real Cartagena, full-time Real Cartagena
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.57fair

Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena prediction

Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena prediction and best bet

Real Cartagena are marginally ahead in the Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena prediction, rated 39% to win this Colombia Primera B match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Tigres FC sit at 30% and the draw at 31%.

Expected goals are 1.04 for Tigres FC and 1.20 for Real Cartagena, a total of 2.24, which puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 48%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Real Cartagena or draw is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.42 with Melbet the market prices it at 70%, against 70% from the model.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Over the last 5 matches Tigres FC stand at 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Real Cartagena show 1 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 66%, over 2.5 at 38%, over 3.5 at 19%; under 2.5 is 62% and under 3.5 is 81%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; Melbet pay 1.62.

Both teams to score is 48%: Tigres FC find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Real Cartagena in 70%. Tigres FC keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Real Cartagena 35%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%, followed by 0-1 (12.8%) and 1-0 (11.1%).

With the top scoreline at 13.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Real Cartagena, full-time Real Cartagena leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena

The grid built from 1.04 and 1.20 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Tigres FC to win30%3.00
Draw31%3.11
Real Cartagena to win39%2.62
Tigres FC, draw no bet44%fair 2.27
Real Cartagena, draw no bet56%fair 1.79

Double chance

Tigres FC or draw62%1.48
Real Cartagena or draw70%1.42
Tigres FC or Real Cartagena (no draw)69%1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.31
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.99
Under 1.5 goals35%fair 2.90
Under 2.5 goals62%1.62
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.23

BTTS

Both teams to score48%2.11
Not both teams to score53%1.77

Halves

First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.75
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41

Team goals

Tigres FC to score65%fair 1.55
Real Cartagena to score70%fair 1.43
Tigres FC clean sheet30%fair 3.32
Real Cartagena clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Tigres FC to win to nil28%fair 3.61
Real Cartagena to win to nil33%fair 3.08

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
0-112.8%
1-011.1%
0-010.6%
1-28%
0-27.7%

Half-time / full-time

Real Cartagena / Real Cartagena22.9%
Draw / Draw19.1%
Tigres FC / Tigres FC17.8%
Draw / Real Cartagena14.9%
Draw / Tigres FC12.3%

Questions about Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena

Who will win Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

The model gives Real Cartagena the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 38%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Tigres FC find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Real Cartagena in 70%.

What time does Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena kick off?

Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena starts at 21:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Tigres FC v Real CartagenaReal Cartagena or draw, 70%
1.42Bet