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Copa Colombia Quarter-finals Monday, 2 November 2026 FT
Santa FeHomeDLWWL
0:2Half-time 0:1
Once CaldasAwayWWDDW
412831
Santa Fe winDrawOnce Caldas win
Kick-off
Mon 2 Nov
Expected goals
2.63
1.42 : 1.21
Favourite
41%
Santa Fe
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Santa Fe vs Once Caldas odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.173.203.011.891.781.721.98Bet
22Bet2.523.192.782.011.801.742.02Bet
BC.Game2.363.152.921.911.811.672.02Bet
Betwinner2.523.192.782.011.801.742.02Bet
Melbet2.523.192.782.011.801.742.02Bet
Stake2.423.252.751.901.781.721.96Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Santa Fe to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Santa Fe vs Once Caldas prediction: Santa Fe 2.52 (22Bet), draw 3.25 (Stake), Once Caldas 3.01 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.81 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 2.02 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

Santa Fe or Once Caldas (no draw)
LeanLostExpected goals 1.42 : 1.21-5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.74Lost
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Santa Fe, full-time Santa Fe
25% chance4.02fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.44fairWon

Santa Fe vs Once Caldas odds movement

Santa Fe win2.52+0.22
Draw3.25-0.15
Once Caldas win3.01unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.01+0.10
Under 2.5 goals1.81-0.09

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Santa Fe vs Once Caldas prediction

Santa Fe vs Once Caldas prediction and best bet

The Santa Fe vs Once Caldas prediction leans to Santa Fe: 41% against 31% for Once Caldas, with 28% left for the draw, in the Copa Colombia on Monday, 2 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.63 in total, split 1.42 to Santa Fe and 1.21 to Once Caldas. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Santa Fe or Once Caldas (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Santa Fe vs Once Caldas.

Over the last 5 matches Santa Fe stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Once Caldas show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.81 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Santa Fe scoring in 76% of runs and Once Caldas in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Santa Fe and 24% for Once Caldas.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas: 1-1 (12.4%), 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.8%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Santa Fe, full-time Santa Fe is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market rated for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 28% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Santa Fe to win41%2.52
Draw28%3.25
Once Caldas to win31%3.01
Santa Fe, draw no bet57%fair 1.76
Once Caldas, draw no bet43%fair 2.31

Double chance

Santa Fe or draw69%1.41
Once Caldas or draw59%1.55
Santa Fe or Once Caldas (no draw)72%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.01
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals52%1.81
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.02

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

Santa Fe to score76%fair 1.32
Once Caldas to score70%fair 1.42
Santa Fe clean sheet30%fair 3.36
Once Caldas clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Santa Fe to win to nil27%fair 3.65
Once Caldas to win to nil22%fair 4.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.2%
2-18.8%
0-18.7%
1-27.5%
2-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Santa Fe / Santa Fe24.9%
Once Caldas / Once Caldas18.4%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Santa Fe14.7%
Draw / Once Caldas11.8%

Questions about Santa Fe vs Once Caldas

Who will win Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?

The model gives Santa Fe the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.

Santa Fe vs Once Caldas both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Santa Fe find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Once Caldas in 70%.

When is Santa Fe vs Once Caldas and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 01:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Santa Fe v Once CaldasSanta Fe or Once Caldas (no draw), 72%
1.32Bet