Primera B
D. Puerto MonttHomeLLLDW
3:1Half-time 2:0
Union San FelipeAwayLLLDL512722
D. Puerto Montt winDrawUnion San Felipe win
D. Puerto MonttHomeLLLDWUnion San FelipeAwayLLLDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.46 1.54 : 0.92
- Favourite
- 51% D. Puerto Montt
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.24 | 3.84 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.83 | 1.86 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
D. Puerto Montt to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best D. Puerto Montt price at 1.86, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.24 and 1xBet have Union San Felipe longest at 3.84.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.71 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.86 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
51%
Our prediction
D. Puerto Montt to win
Double chanceD. Puerto Montt or draw
78% chance1.18
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.71
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time D. Puerto Montt, full-time D. Puerto Montt
32% chance3.16fair
D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe prediction
D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe prediction, who wins and at what price
D. Puerto Montt are a narrow favourite in the D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe prediction, rated 51% to win this Primera B match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Union San Felipe sit at 22% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.54 for D. Puerto Montt and 0.92 for Union San Felipe, a total of 2.46, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe is d. Puerto Montt to win, a 51% chance. At 1.86 with 1xBet the market prices it at 54%, against 51% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, d. Puerto Montt or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.18.
Over the last 5 matches D. Puerto Montt stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Union San Felipe show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 56% and under 3.5 is 77%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.71.
BTTS yes stands at 49%. D. Puerto Montt score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Union San Felipe; Union San Felipe score in 60% while D. Puerto Montt shut them out 40% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe: 1-0 (13.2%), 1-1 (12.1%) and 2-0 (10.1%).
With the top scoreline at 13.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time D. Puerto Montt, full-time D. Puerto Montt is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe
The grid built from 1.54 and 0.92 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
D. Puerto Montt to win51%1.86
Draw27%3.24
Union San Felipe to win22%3.84
D. Puerto Montt, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
Union San Felipe, draw no bet30%fair 3.36
Double chance
D. Puerto Montt or draw78%1.18
Union San Felipe or draw49%1.76
D. Puerto Montt or Union San Felipe (no draw)73%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%1.98
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.62
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.38
Under 2.5 goals56%1.71
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.83
Not both teams to score52%1.86
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.29
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
D. Puerto Montt to score79%fair 1.27
Union San Felipe to score60%fair 1.66
D. Puerto Montt clean sheet40%fair 2.51
Union San Felipe clean sheet21%fair 4.67
D. Puerto Montt to win to nil37%fair 2.72
Union San Felipe to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.2%
1-112.1%
2-010.1%
2-19.3%
0-08.5%
0-17.9%
Half-time / full-time
D. Puerto Montt / D. Puerto Montt31.6%
Draw / D. Puerto Montt17.8%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Union San Felipe / Union San Felipe12.4%
Draw / Union San Felipe8.9%
Questions about D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe
Who is favourite in D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
The model gives D. Puerto Montt the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 44%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. D. Puerto Montt find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Union San Felipe in 60%.
When is D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe and where is the result shown?
D. Puerto Montt vs Union San Felipe starts at 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.