First League
Dunav RuseHomeDWWWL
2:0Half-time 1:0
Spartak VarnaAwayLWWLL403030
Dunav Ruse winDrawSpartak Varna win
Dunav RuseHomeDWWWLSpartak VarnaAwayLWWLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.35 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 40% Dunav Ruse
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.97 | 2.03 | 1.72 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Dunav Ruse to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction: Dunav Ruse 2.38 (1xBet), draw 3.10 (1xBet), Spartak Varna 2.97 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.03 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.72 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
71%
Our prediction
Dunav Ruse or Spartak Varna (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.72
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dunav Ruse, full-time Dunav Ruse
24% chance4.15fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction
Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction, who wins and at what price
The Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna prediction leans to Dunav Ruse: 40% against 31% for Spartak Varna, with 30% left for the draw, in the First League on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.35 for Dunav Ruse and 1.17 for Spartak Varna, a total of 2.52, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Dunav Ruse or Spartak Varna (no draw) is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 1xBet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna.
Form check: Dunav Ruse have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 7 conceded, Spartak Varna 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 11.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna
Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.72 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Dunav Ruse scoring in 74% of runs and Spartak Varna in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Dunav Ruse and 26% for Spartak Varna.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 10.9% and 0-1 at 9.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dunav Ruse, full-time Dunav Ruse leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna
The grid built from 1.35 and 1.17 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Dunav Ruse to win40%2.38
Draw30%3.10
Spartak Varna to win31%2.97
Dunav Ruse, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Spartak Varna, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Double chance
Dunav Ruse or draw69%1.35
Spartak Varna or draw61%1.52
Dunav Ruse or Spartak Varna (no draw)71%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.03
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals54%1.72
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Dunav Ruse to score74%fair 1.35
Spartak Varna to score69%fair 1.45
Dunav Ruse clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Spartak Varna clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Dunav Ruse to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Spartak Varna to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
1-010.9%
0-19.4%
2-18.6%
0-08%
1-27.4%
Half-time / full-time
Dunav Ruse / Dunav Ruse24.1%
Spartak Varna / Spartak Varna18.5%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Dunav Ruse14.6%
Draw / Spartak Varna12%
Questions about Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna
Who will win Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?
The model gives Dunav Ruse the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Dunav Ruse vs Spartak Varna?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Dunav Ruse find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Spartak Varna in 69%.
When do Dunav Ruse play Spartak Varna?
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.