Cup
St. TruidenHomeWWWLL
4:1Half-time 2:1
Lommel UnitedAwayWWLDW681814
St. Truiden winDrawLommel United win
St. TruidenHomeWWWLLLommel UnitedAwayWWLDW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.30 2.35 : 0.95
- Favourite
- 68% St. Truiden
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
St. Truiden vs Lommel United odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.65 | 6.42 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
St. Truiden to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction: St. Truiden 1.41 (1xBet), draw 4.65 (1xBet), Lommel United 6.42 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.33 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
St. Truiden to win
Double chanceSt. Truiden or draw
87% chance1.08
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time St. Truiden, full-time St. Truiden
46% chance2.17fair
St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction
St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction and best bet
The St. Truiden vs Lommel United prediction leans to St. Truiden: 68% against 13% for Lommel United, with 18% left for the draw, in the Cup on Sunday, 18 October 2026.
Expected goals are 2.35 for St. Truiden and 0.95 for Lommel United, a total of 3.30, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
St. Truiden to win is the main selection, rated 68%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.41. That price implies 71%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on St. Truiden vs Lommel United.
St. Truiden or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.08.
With the draw down at 18%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
St. Truiden average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Lommel United 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.
St. Truiden vs Lommel United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines St. Truiden vs Lommel United reads 84% for over 1.5, 63% for over 2.5 and 42% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 37%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%, best priced 1.48 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 56%: St. Truiden find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Lommel United in 61%. St. Truiden keep a clean sheet 39% of the time and Lommel United 10%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.2%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time St. Truiden, full-time St. Truiden leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for St. Truiden vs Lommel United
The grid built from 2.35 and 0.95 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
St. Truiden to win68%1.41
Draw18%4.65
Lommel United to win13%6.42
St. Truiden, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Lommel United, draw no bet16%fair 6.17
Double chance
St. Truiden or draw87%1.08
Lommel United or draw32%2.70
St. Truiden or Lommel United (no draw)82%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.48
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.39
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.22
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 2.5 goals37%2.33
Under 3.5 goals58%fair 1.72
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.06
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.29
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
St. Truiden to score91%fair 1.10
Lommel United to score61%fair 1.63
St. Truiden clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Lommel United clean sheet10%fair 10.53
St. Truiden to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Lommel United to win to nil9%fair 11.36
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-010.2%
2-19.7%
1-08.7%
1-18.2%
3-08%
3-17.6%
Half-time / full-time
St. Truiden / St. Truiden46.1%
Draw / St. Truiden19%
Draw / Draw10%
Lommel United / Lommel United7.4%
Draw / Lommel United5.1%
Questions about St. Truiden vs Lommel United
Who is favourite in St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
The model gives St. Truiden the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
St. Truiden vs Lommel United correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in St. Truiden vs Lommel United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. St. Truiden find the net in 91% of simulated matches and Lommel United in 61%.
When is St. Truiden vs Lommel United and where is the result shown?
St. Truiden vs Lommel United starts at 16:30 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.