ArazAwayLLLLD
ArazAwayLLLLD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.85 1.54 : 1.31
- Favourite
- 43% Safa Baku
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Safa Baku vs Araz betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
Our prediction
Safa Baku vs Araz prediction
Our Safa Baku vs Araz prediction and pick
The Safa Baku vs Araz prediction leans to Safa Baku: 43% against 32% for Araz, with 25% left for the draw, in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.85 in total, split 1.54 to Safa Baku and 1.31 to Araz. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Safa Baku or Araz (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Over the last 4 matches Safa Baku stand at 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Araz show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Safa Baku vs Araz
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%.
BTTS yes stands at 57%. Safa Baku score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Araz; Araz score in 73% while Safa Baku shut them out 27% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.7%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 8.9%.
With the top scoreline at 11.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Safa Baku vs Araz; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Safa Baku, full-time Safa Baku leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Safa Baku vs Araz
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Safa Baku vs Araz, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Safa Baku vs Araz
Safa Baku or Araz: which side does the model back?
The model gives Safa Baku the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Safa Baku vs Araz correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Safa Baku vs Araz both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Safa Baku find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Araz in 73%.
When do Safa Baku play Araz?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.