Premyer Liqa
Neftchi BakuHomeWDDDW
Fri 6 Nov
KapazAwayDWDWW572320
Neftchi Baku winDrawKapaz win
Neftchi BakuHomeWDDDWKapazAwayDWDWW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.89 1.86 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 57% Neftchi Baku
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
57%
Our prediction
Neftchi Baku to win
1.76fair
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.85fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Neftchi Baku, full-time Neftchi Baku
36% chance2.79fair
Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz prediction
Our Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz prediction and pick
Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz prediction for the Premyer Liqa on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model makes Neftchi Baku a narrow favourite at 57%, with the draw at 23% and Kapaz at 21%.
The goal expectancy is 2.89 in total, split 1.86 to Neftchi Baku and 1.03 to Kapaz. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Neftchi Baku to win is the main selection, rated 57%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Neftchi Baku or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance.
Neftchi Baku average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Kapaz 1.4 and 0.6 across 5.
How many goals in Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Neftchi Baku scoring in 84% of runs and Kapaz in 64%; clean sheets come at 36% for Neftchi Baku and 16% for Kapaz.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%, followed by 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Neftchi Baku, full-time Neftchi Baku leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz
The grid built from 1.86 and 1.03 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Neftchi Baku to win57%fair 1.76
Draw23%fair 4.42
Kapaz to win21%fair 4.83
Neftchi Baku, draw no bet73%fair 1.36
Kapaz, draw no bet27%fair 3.75
Double chance
Neftchi Baku or draw79%fair 1.26
Kapaz or draw43%fair 2.31
Neftchi Baku or Kapaz (no draw)78%fair 1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.05
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.99
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.49
BTTS
Both teams to score54%fair 1.85
Not both teams to score46%fair 2.18
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.68
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Neftchi Baku to score84%fair 1.18
Kapaz to score64%fair 1.56
Neftchi Baku clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Kapaz clean sheet16%fair 6.41
Neftchi Baku to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Kapaz to win to nil14%fair 6.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-110.6%
1-010.3%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%
3-16.1%
3-06%
Half-time / full-time
Neftchi Baku / Neftchi Baku35.9%
Draw / Neftchi Baku17.8%
Draw / Draw13.2%
Kapaz / Kapaz11.5%
Draw / Kapaz7.8%
Questions about Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz
Who will win Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
The model gives Neftchi Baku the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Neftchi Baku find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Kapaz in 64%.
What time does Neftchi Baku vs Kapaz kick off?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.