Australian Championship
South MelbourneHomeDWDW
Sat 7 Nov
Sutherland SharksAwayLWL412732
South Melbourne winDrawSutherland Sharks win
South MelbourneHomeDWDWSutherland SharksAwayLWL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.54 1.36 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 41% South Melbourne
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
73%
Our prediction
South Melbourne or Sutherland Sharks (no draw)
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.87fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.95fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time South Melbourne, full-time South Melbourne
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
South Melbourne v Sutherland Sharks head to head
1South Melbourne wins
0Draws
0Sutherland Sharks wins
- 17 Oct 26Sutherland Sharks0:1South Melbourne
1 meeting since coverage began, 1 goals in total: South Melbourne scored 1, Sutherland Sharks scored 0.
South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks prediction
South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks prediction, who wins and at what price
South Melbourne are marginally ahead in the South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks prediction, rated 41% to win this Australian Championship match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Sutherland Sharks sit at 32% and the draw at 27%.
The goal expectancy is 2.54 in total, split 1.36 to South Melbourne and 1.18 to Sutherland Sharks. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 47% and both teams to score 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks is south Melbourne or Sutherland Sharks (no draw), a 73% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Form check: South Melbourne have won 2 of their last 4 with 5 scored and 2 conceded, Sutherland Sharks 1 of 3 scoring 3 and conceding 3.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from South Melbourne scoring in 74% of runs and Sutherland Sharks in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for South Melbourne and 26% for Sutherland Sharks.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks: 1-1 (12.7%), 1-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time South Melbourne, full-time South Melbourne leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
South Melbourne to win41%fair 2.43
Draw27%fair 3.76
Sutherland Sharks to win32%fair 3.11
South Melbourne, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Sutherland Sharks, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Double chance
South Melbourne or draw68%fair 1.47
Sutherland Sharks or draw59%fair 1.70
South Melbourne or Sutherland Sharks (no draw)73%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals47%fair 2.15
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals53%fair 1.87
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score51%fair 1.95
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.06
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
South Melbourne to score74%fair 1.35
Sutherland Sharks to score69%fair 1.44
South Melbourne clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Sutherland Sharks clean sheet26%fair 3.89
South Melbourne to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Sutherland Sharks to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
1-010.7%
0-19.3%
2-18.6%
0-07.9%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
South Melbourne / South Melbourne24.2%
Sutherland Sharks / Sutherland Sharks18.6%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / South Melbourne14.6%
Draw / Sutherland Sharks12%
Questions about South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks
South Melbourne or Sutherland Sharks: which side does the model back?
The model gives South Melbourne the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. South Melbourne find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Sutherland Sharks in 69%.
When do South Melbourne play Sutherland Sharks?
South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks starts at 08:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.