Australian Championship
South HobartHomeWLL
Sun 8 Nov
LionsAwayLWW312346
South Hobart winDrawLions win
South HobartHomeWLLLionsAwayLWW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.24 1.44 : 1.80
- Favourite
- 46% Lions
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
South Hobart vs Lions odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
77%
Our prediction
South Hobart or Lions (no draw)
1.30fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
63% chance1.60fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.57fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.80fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lions, full-time Lions
29% chance3.51fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair
South Hobart v Lions head to head
1South Hobart wins
0Draws
0Lions wins
- 18 Oct 26Lions1:2South Hobart
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: South Hobart scored 2, Lions scored 1.
South Hobart vs Lions prediction
South Hobart vs Lions prediction and best bet
The South Hobart vs Lions prediction leans to Lions: 46% against 31% for South Hobart, with 23% left for the draw, in the Australian Championship on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
South Hobart are expected to score 1.44 and Lions 1.80, so the total line is 3.24 goals; over 2.5 lands at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
South Hobart or Lions (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Form check: South Hobart have won 1 of their last 3 with 3 scored and 5 conceded, Lions 2 of 3 scoring 6 and conceding 4.
South Hobart vs Lions over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 63%, over 3.5 at 41%; under 2.5 is 37% and under 3.5 is 59%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Both teams to score is 64%: South Hobart find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Lions in 84%. South Hobart keep a clean sheet 17% of the time and Lions 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.2%, then 1-2 at 9.1% and 2-1 at 7.3%.
With the top scoreline at 10.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for South Hobart vs Lions; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Lions, full-time Lions leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for South Hobart vs Lions
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 23% / 46% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
South Hobart to win31%fair 3.22
Draw23%fair 4.37
Lions to win46%fair 2.17
South Hobart, draw no bet40%fair 2.48
Lions, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
Double chance
South Hobart or draw54%fair 1.85
Lions or draw69%fair 1.45
South Hobart or Lions (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals63%fair 1.60
Over 3.5 goals41%fair 2.46
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.41
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 6.02
Under 2.5 goals37%fair 2.67
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.68
BTTS
Both teams to score64%fair 1.57
Not both teams to score36%fair 2.75
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.34
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
South Hobart to score76%fair 1.31
Lions to score84%fair 1.20
South Hobart clean sheet17%fair 6.06
Lions clean sheet24%fair 4.22
South Hobart to win to nil15%fair 6.58
Lions to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.2%
1-29.1%
2-17.3%
0-17%
2-26.6%
0-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Lions / Lions28.5%
South Hobart / South Hobart18.1%
Draw / Lions14.5%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / South Hobart10.5%
Questions about South Hobart vs Lions
Who is favourite in South Hobart vs Lions?
The model gives Lions the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
South Hobart vs Lions correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in South Hobart vs Lions?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. South Hobart find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Lions in 84%.
When do South Hobart play Lions?
South Hobart vs Lions starts at 04:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.