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Australian Championship Matchday 4 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
AvondaleHomeDLL
Sun 8 Nov
Adelaide CityAwayDLL
362143
Avondale winDrawAdelaide City win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
3.80
1.82 : 1.98
Favourite
42%
Adelaide City
Over 2.5 goals
73%
model chance
Both teams to score
72%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Avondale vs Adelaide City odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Avondale vs Adelaide City yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

79%

Our prediction

Avondale or Adelaide City (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 1.82 : 1.98
1.27fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
72% chance1.39fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
8% chance12.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Adelaide City, full-time Adelaide City
26% chance3.79fair
First halfFirst-half goal
82% chance1.22fair

Avondale v Adelaide City head to head

0Avondale wins
1Draw
0Adelaide City wins
  • 16 Oct 26Adelaide City2:2Avondale

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Avondale scored 2, Adelaide City scored 2.

Avondale vs Adelaide City prediction

Avondale vs Adelaide City prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the Avondale vs Adelaide City prediction for Sunday, 8 November 2026: 36% home, 21% draw and 42% away in the Australian Championship. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.80 in total, split 1.82 to Avondale and 1.98 to Adelaide City. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 73% and both teams to score 72%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Avondale or Adelaide City (no draw) is the main selection, rated 79%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Avondale have won 0 of their last 3 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, Adelaide City 0 of 3 scoring 5 and conceding 8.

Avondale vs Adelaide City over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 27% and under 3.5 47%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 89% and over 2.5 at 73%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 73%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from Avondale scoring in 84% of runs and Adelaide City in 86%; clean sheets come at 14% for Avondale and 16% for Adelaide City.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 8.1%, then 1-2 at 8% and 2-1 at 7.3%.

With the top scoreline at 8.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Avondale vs Adelaide City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Adelaide City, full-time Adelaide City is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 82%.

All markets, Avondale vs Adelaide City

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 21% / 42% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Avondale to win36%fair 2.75
Draw21%fair 4.69
Adelaide City to win42%fair 2.36
Avondale, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Adelaide City, draw no bet54%fair 1.86

Double chance

Avondale or draw58%fair 1.74
Adelaide City or draw64%fair 1.57
Avondale or Adelaide City (no draw)79%fair 1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90
Over 4.5 goals33%fair 3.01
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.35
Under 2.5 goals27%fair 3.70
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11

BTTS

Both teams to score72%fair 1.39
Not both teams to score28%fair 3.58

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.96
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

Avondale to score84%fair 1.19
Adelaide City to score86%fair 1.16
Avondale clean sheet14%fair 7.25
Adelaide City clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Avondale to win to nil13%fair 7.87
Adelaide City to win to nil15%fair 6.71

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-18.1%
1-28%
2-17.3%
2-27.3%
1-35.3%
2-34.8%

Half-time / full-time

Adelaide City / Adelaide City26.4%
Avondale / Avondale22%
Draw / Adelaide City12.6%
Draw / Avondale11.1%
Draw / Draw10.2%

Questions about Avondale vs Adelaide City

Who will win Avondale vs Adelaide City?

The model gives Adelaide City the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 21%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Avondale vs Adelaide City correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 73% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Avondale vs Adelaide City?

The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. Avondale find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Adelaide City in 86%.

When is Avondale vs Adelaide City and where is the result shown?

Avondale vs Adelaide City starts at 04:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Avondale v Adelaide CityAvondale or Adelaide City (no draw), 79%
1.27fair