Primera Nacional
Nueva ChicagoHomeWLLLD
1:1Half-time 0:0
San Martin S.J.AwayLDDDW363331
Nueva Chicago winDrawSan Martin S.J. win
Nueva ChicagoHomeWLLLDSan Martin S.J.AwayLDDDW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.91 1.00 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 36% Nueva Chicago
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.62 | 2.73 | 2.70 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.23 | 1.57 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Nueva Chicago to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. are 2.62 for Nueva Chicago at 1xBet, 2.73 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.70 for San Martin S.J. at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 89.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.23 (1xBet) and no 1.57 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
69%
Our prediction
Nueva Chicago or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
57% chance1.76fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
15% chance6.76fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.37fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.73fair
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. prediction
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. prediction for Monday, 26 October 2026: 36% home, 33% draw and 31% away in the Primera Nacional. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.00 for Nueva Chicago and 0.91 for San Martin S.J., a total of 1.91, which puts over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is nueva Chicago or draw at 69%. At 1.34 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 69% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J..
The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Over the last 5 matches Nueva Chicago stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; San Martin S.J. show 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 57%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.35 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. Nueva Chicago score in 63% of simulations against a 37% clean sheet for San Martin S.J.; San Martin S.J. score in 60% while Nueva Chicago shut them out 40% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Correct score: 0-0 leads at 14.8%, then 1-0 at 14.8% and 0-1 at 13.5%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
The grid built from 1.00 and 0.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Nueva Chicago to win36%2.62
Draw33%2.73
San Martin S.J. to win31%2.70
Nueva Chicago, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
San Martin S.J., draw no bet47%fair 2.14
Double chance
Nueva Chicago or draw69%1.34
San Martin S.J. or draw64%1.36
Nueva Chicago or San Martin S.J. (no draw)67%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals57%fair 1.76
Over 2.5 goals30%2.74
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 22.22
Under 1.5 goals43%fair 2.32
Under 2.5 goals70%1.35
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.23
Not both teams to score61%1.57
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.73
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.69
Second-half goal65%fair 1.54
Team goals
Nueva Chicago to score63%fair 1.58
San Martin S.J. to score60%fair 1.68
Nueva Chicago clean sheet40%fair 2.48
San Martin S.J. clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Nueva Chicago to win to nil33%fair 3.04
San Martin S.J. to win to nil29%fair 3.46
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-014.8%
1-014.8%
0-113.5%
1-113.5%
2-07.4%
2-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.9%
Nueva Chicago / Nueva Chicago20.5%
San Martin S.J. / San Martin S.J.17.5%
Draw / Nueva Chicago14.6%
Draw / San Martin S.J.13%
Questions about Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
The model gives Nueva Chicago the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 33%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. correct score: what does the model say?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 30% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Nueva Chicago find the net in 63% of simulated matches and San Martin S.J. in 60%.
When is Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. and where is the result shown?
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. starts at 16:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.