CAF Confederation Cup
ASC KaraHomeLW
1:0Half-time 1:0
DiarraAwayWL542719
ASC Kara winDrawDiarra win
ASC KaraHomeLWDiarraAwayWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.33 1.53 : 0.80
- Favourite
- 54% ASC Kara
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 45% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
ASC Kara vs Diarra odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.28 | 4.58 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.04 | 1.66 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
ASC Kara to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for ASC Kara vs Diarra are 1.71 for ASC Kara at 1xBet, 3.28 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.58 for Diarra at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.20 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.57 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.04 (1xBet) and no 1.66 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
54%
Our prediction
ASC Kara to win
Double chanceASC Kara or draw
82% chance1.12
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.57
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ASC Kara, full-time ASC Kara
33% chance2.99fair
ASC Kara v Diarra head to head
0ASC Kara wins
0Draws
1Diarra wins
- 18 Oct 26Diarra3:2ASC Kara
1 meeting since coverage began, 5 goals in total: ASC Kara scored 2, Diarra scored 3.
ASC Kara vs Diarra prediction
ASC Kara vs Diarra prediction and best bet
The ASC Kara vs Diarra prediction leans to ASC Kara: 54% against 19% for Diarra, with 27% left for the draw, in the CAF Confederation Cup on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
ASC Kara are expected to score 1.53 and Diarra 0.80, so the total line is 2.33 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for ASC Kara vs Diarra is aSC Kara to win, a 54% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.71 at 1xBet, which implies 58%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on ASC Kara vs Diarra.
For a safer line, aSC Kara or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.12.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in ASC Kara vs Diarra
Under 2.5 goals is rated 59% and under 3.5 79%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 68% and over 2.5 at 41%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.57.
Both teams to score is 45%: ASC Kara find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Diarra in 55%. ASC Kara keep a clean sheet 45% of the time and Diarra 22%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14.9%, followed by 1-1 (11.9%) and 2-0 (11.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time ASC Kara, full-time ASC Kara is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 65%.
Every market rated for ASC Kara vs Diarra
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for ASC Kara vs Diarra, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
ASC Kara to win54%1.71
Draw27%3.28
Diarra to win19%4.58
ASC Kara, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Diarra, draw no bet26%fair 3.92
Double chance
ASC Kara or draw82%1.12
Diarra or draw46%1.91
ASC Kara or Diarra (no draw)73%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.20
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.83
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.49
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.09
Under 2.5 goals59%1.57
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score45%2.04
Not both teams to score55%1.66
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.55
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
ASC Kara to score78%fair 1.28
Diarra to score55%fair 1.81
ASC Kara clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Diarra clean sheet22%fair 4.61
ASC Kara to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Diarra to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-014.9%
1-111.9%
2-011.4%
0-09.7%
2-19.1%
0-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
ASC Kara / ASC Kara33.4%
Draw / ASC Kara19%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Diarra / Diarra10.5%
Draw / Diarra8%
Questions about ASC Kara vs Diarra
Who is favourite in ASC Kara vs Diarra?
The model gives ASC Kara the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 27%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
ASC Kara vs Diarra correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in ASC Kara vs Diarra?
The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. ASC Kara find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Diarra in 55%.
When is ASC Kara vs Diarra and where is the result shown?
ASC Kara vs Diarra starts at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.