Premier Soccer League
Triangle UnitedHomeWDLW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Simba BhoraAwayLDWL203050
Triangle United winDrawSimba Bhora win
Triangle UnitedHomeWDLWSimba BhoraAwayLDWL- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.89 0.66 : 1.23
- Favourite
- 50% Simba Bhora
- Over 2.5 goals
- 29% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 35% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Best odds for Triangle United vs Simba Bhora
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 4.56 | 3.04 | 1.78 | 2.88 | 1.34 | 2.51 | 1.44 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 4.56 | 3.04 | 1.78 | 2.88 | 1.34 | 2.51 | 1.44 | Bet |
 Melbet | 4.56 | 3.04 | 1.78 | 2.88 | 1.34 | 2.51 | 1.44 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Simba Bhora to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Triangle United vs Simba Bhora prediction: Triangle United 4.56 (Melbet), draw 3.04 (Melbet), Simba Bhora 1.78 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.88 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.34 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 2.51 (Melbet) and no 1.44 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
50%
Our prediction
Simba Bhora to win
Double chanceSimba Bhora or draw
80% chance1.12
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
71% chance1.34
BTTSNot both teams to score
65% chance1.44
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
56% chance1.78fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
19% chance5.38fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Simba Bhora, full-time Simba Bhora
29% chance3.40fair
Triangle United vs Simba Bhora prediction
Triangle United vs Simba Bhora prediction and best bet
Simba Bhora are a narrow favourite in the Triangle United vs Simba Bhora prediction, rated 50% to win this Premier Soccer League match on Sunday, 25 October 2026. Triangle United sit at 20% and the draw at 30%.
Triangle United are expected to score 0.66 and Simba Bhora 1.23, so the total line is 1.89 goals; over 2.5 lands at 29% and BTTS at 35%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Simba Bhora to win is the main selection, rated 50%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.78. That price implies 56%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Simba Bhora or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.12.
Form check: Triangle United have won 2 of their last 4 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Simba Bhora 1 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 5.
A low-scoring Triangle United vs Simba Bhora? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Triangle United vs Simba Bhora reads 56% for over 1.5, 29% for over 2.5 and 12% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 71%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 71%, best priced 1.34 at Betwinner.
BTTS yes stands at 35%. Triangle United score in 48% of simulations against a 52% clean sheet for Simba Bhora; Simba Bhora score in 71% while Triangle United shut them out 29% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Triangle United vs Simba Bhora: 0-1 (18.6%), 0-0 (15.1%) and 1-1 (12.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Simba Bhora, full-time Simba Bhora leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 57%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Triangle United vs Simba Bhora
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 20% / 30% / 50% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Triangle United to win20%4.56
Draw30%3.04
Simba Bhora to win50%1.78
Triangle United, draw no bet29%fair 3.50
Simba Bhora, draw no bet71%fair 1.40
Double chance
Triangle United or draw50%1.82
Simba Bhora or draw80%1.12
Triangle United or Simba Bhora (no draw)71%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 1.5 goals56%fair 1.78
Over 2.5 goals29%2.88
Over 3.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Over 4.5 goals4%fair 23.26
Under 1.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Under 2.5 goals71%1.34
Under 3.5 goals88%fair 1.14
BTTS
Both teams to score35%2.51
Not both teams to score65%1.44
Halves
First-half goal57%fair 1.75
Over 1.5 first-half goals21%fair 4.78
Second-half goal65%fair 1.55
Team goals
Triangle United to score48%fair 2.07
Simba Bhora to score71%fair 1.41
Triangle United clean sheet29%fair 3.42
Simba Bhora clean sheet52%fair 1.93
Triangle United to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Simba Bhora to win to nil46%fair 2.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-118.6%
0-015.1%
1-112.3%
0-211.4%
1-010%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Simba Bhora / Simba Bhora29.4%
Draw / Draw22.3%
Draw / Simba Bhora19%
Triangle United / Triangle United10.5%
Draw / Triangle United8.7%
Questions about Triangle United vs Simba Bhora
Triangle United or Simba Bhora: which side does the model back?
The model gives Simba Bhora the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 30%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Triangle United vs Simba Bhora?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 18.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 29%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Triangle United vs Simba Bhora both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 35%. Triangle United find the net in 48% of simulated matches and Simba Bhora in 71%.
When is Triangle United vs Simba Bhora and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.