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Live 25 UTC
V.League 1 Round 5 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
Phu DongHomeDWLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Ho Chi MinhAwayDWWL
412534
Phu Dong winDrawHo Chi Minh win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
2.96
1.55 : 1.41
Favourite
41%
Phu Dong
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh odds comparison

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

76%

Our prediction

Phu Dong or Ho Chi Minh (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.55 : 1.41
1.32fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Phu Dong, full-time Phu Dong
25% chance4.08fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair

Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh prediction

Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh prediction, who wins and at what price

The Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. V.League 1 on Sunday, 25 October 2026 gives Phu Dong a 41% chance, Ho Chi Minh 35% and the draw 25%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

Expected goals are 1.55 for Phu Dong and 1.41 for Ho Chi Minh, a total of 2.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Phu Dong or Ho Chi Minh (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.

Phu Dong average 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 4, Ho Chi Minh 0.8 and 0.5 across 4.

Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%.

Both teams to score is 59%: Phu Dong find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Ho Chi Minh in 76%. Phu Dong keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Ho Chi Minh 21%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.3%, then 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-0 at 8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Phu Dong, full-time Phu Dong leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 25% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Phu Dong to win41%fair 2.44
Draw25%fair 4.08
Ho Chi Minh to win35%fair 2.89
Phu Dong, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Ho Chi Minh, draw no bet46%fair 2.18

Double chance

Phu Dong or draw66%fair 1.53
Ho Chi Minh or draw59%fair 1.69
Phu Dong or Ho Chi Minh (no draw)76%fair 1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%fair 1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.30
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52

BTTS

Both teams to score59%fair 1.68
Not both teams to score41%fair 2.46

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24

Team goals

Phu Dong to score79%fair 1.27
Ho Chi Minh to score76%fair 1.32
Phu Dong clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Ho Chi Minh clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Phu Dong to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Ho Chi Minh to win to nil20%fair 5.13

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-18.8%
1-08%
1-28%
0-17.3%
2-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Phu Dong / Phu Dong24.5%
Ho Chi Minh / Ho Chi Minh20.4%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Draw / Phu Dong13.7%
Draw / Ho Chi Minh12%

Questions about Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh

Phu Dong or Ho Chi Minh: which side does the model back?

The model gives Phu Dong the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Phu Dong find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Ho Chi Minh in 76%.

When is Phu Dong vs Ho Chi Minh and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Phu Dong v Ho Chi MinhPhu Dong or Ho Chi Minh (no draw), 76%
1.32fair