Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhHomeWDWD
Hai PhongAwayLWLW
Hồng Lĩnh Hà TĩnhHomeWDWD
Hai PhongAwayLWLW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.67 | 3.34 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong prediction: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 2.30 (1xBet), draw 2.67 (1xBet), Hai Phong 3.34 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.15 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.60 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong prediction for the V.League 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh marginally ahead at 38%, with the draw at 37% and Hai Phong at 26%.
Expected goals are 1.30 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 1.07 for Hai Phong, a total of 2.37, which puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong is hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw, a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong.
The draw is live at 37%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have won 2 of their last 4 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, Hai Phong 2 of 4 scoring 8 and conceding 5.
On the goal lines Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong reads 69% for over 1.5, 42% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 58%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.60 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh scoring in 73% of runs and Hai Phong in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 27% for Hai Phong.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12.2%) and 0-1 (10%).
With the top scoreline at 13%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Hai Phong; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, full-time Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.
The grid built from 1.30 and 1.07 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 37%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 42% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Hai Phong in 66%.
Kick-off is 11:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.