Venezuela Primera División
Portuguesa FCHomeDDLDD
Wed 4 Nov
Deportivo La GuairaAwayDLDLD422731
Portuguesa FC winDrawDeportivo La Guaira win
Portuguesa FCHomeDDLDDDeportivo La GuairaAwayDLDLD- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.53 1.38 : 1.15
- Favourite
- 42% Portuguesa FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
74%
Our prediction
Portuguesa FC or Deportivo La Guaira (no draw)
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.87fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.95fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Portuguesa FC, full-time Portuguesa FC
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Portuguesa FC v Deportivo La Guaira head to head
0Portuguesa FC wins
2Draws
0Deportivo La Guaira wins
2 meetings since coverage began, 4 goals in total: Portuguesa FC scored 2, Deportivo La Guaira scored 2.
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction
Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction, who wins and at what price
Portuguesa FC host Deportivo La Guaira on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 in the Venezuela Primera División, and the model has Portuguesa FC at 42%, the draw at 27% and Deportivo La Guaira at 31%: that is the Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.38 for Portuguesa FC and 1.15 for Deportivo La Guaira, a total of 2.53, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira is portuguesa FC or Deportivo La Guaira (no draw), a 74% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches Portuguesa FC stand at 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Deportivo La Guaira show 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Head to head, the last 2 meetings went 0 to Portuguesa FC, 0 to Deportivo La Guaira and 2 drawn, with 2.0 goals a game and both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
On the goal lines Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 54%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Portuguesa FC scoring in 75% of runs and Deportivo La Guaira in 68%; clean sheets come at 32% for Portuguesa FC and 25% for Deportivo La Guaira.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira: 1-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (11%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Portuguesa FC, full-time Portuguesa FC leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 27% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Portuguesa FC to win42%fair 2.37
Draw27%fair 3.76
Deportivo La Guaira to win31%fair 3.19
Portuguesa FC, draw no bet57%fair 1.74
Deportivo La Guaira, draw no bet43%fair 2.35
Double chance
Portuguesa FC or draw69%fair 1.45
Deportivo La Guaira or draw58%fair 1.73
Portuguesa FC or Deportivo La Guaira (no draw)74%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%fair 1.87
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33
BTTS
Both teams to score51%fair 1.95
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.05
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Portuguesa FC to score75%fair 1.34
Deportivo La Guaira to score68%fair 1.46
Portuguesa FC clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Deportivo La Guaira clean sheet25%fair 3.97
Portuguesa FC to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Deportivo La Guaira to win to nil23%fair 4.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-011%
0-19.2%
2-18.7%
0-08%
2-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Portuguesa FC / Portuguesa FC24.9%
Deportivo La Guaira / Deportivo La Guaira17.8%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / Portuguesa FC15%
Draw / Deportivo La Guaira11.7%
Questions about Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira
Portuguesa FC or Deportivo La Guaira: which side does the model back?
The model gives Portuguesa FC the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Portuguesa FC find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Deportivo La Guaira in 68%.
What time does Portuguesa FC vs Deportivo La Guaira kick off?
Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.