Venezuela Primera División
Portuguesa FCHomeDDLDD
1:3Half-time 0:2
Carabobo FCAwayWDWWD293140
Portuguesa FC winDrawCarabobo FC win
Portuguesa FCHomeDDLDDCarabobo FCAwayWDWWD- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.54 1.15 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 40% Carabobo FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.21 | 2.94 | 2.19 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.75 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.21 | 3.36 | 2.18 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.35 | 3.20 | 2.10 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.70 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.38 | 2.99 | 2.09 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.72 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.21 | 3.36 | 2.18 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 1.74 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Carabobo FC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC are 3.38 for Portuguesa FC at Betwinner, 3.36 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.19 for Carabobo FC at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.98 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.75 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Carabobo FC or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.75
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Carabobo FC, full-time Carabobo FC
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC prediction
Our Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC prediction and pick
The Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC prediction leans to Carabobo FC: 40% against 29% for Portuguesa FC, with 31% left for the draw, in the Venezuela Primera División on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Portuguesa FC and 1.39 for Carabobo FC, a total of 2.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Carabobo FC or draw is the main selection, rated 71%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at Melbet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Portuguesa FC have won 0 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 5 conceded, Carabobo FC 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Betwinner pay 1.83.
The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Portuguesa FC scoring in 68% of runs and Carabobo FC in 75%; clean sheets come at 25% for Portuguesa FC and 32% for Carabobo FC.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC: 1-1 (12.6%), 0-1 (11%) and 1-0 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Carabobo FC, full-time Carabobo FC leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Portuguesa FC to win29%3.38
Draw31%3.36
Carabobo FC to win40%2.19
Portuguesa FC, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Carabobo FC, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Double chance
Portuguesa FC or draw60%1.64
Carabobo FC or draw71%1.32
Portuguesa FC or Carabobo FC (no draw)69%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals47%1.98
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.75
Not both teams to score47%2.02
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Portuguesa FC to score68%fair 1.46
Carabobo FC to score75%fair 1.33
Portuguesa FC clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Carabobo FC clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Portuguesa FC to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Carabobo FC to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
0-111%
1-09.1%
1-28.8%
0-07.9%
0-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
Carabobo FC / Carabobo FC25.1%
Portuguesa FC / Portuguesa FC17.7%
Draw / Draw16.5%
Draw / Carabobo FC15%
Draw / Portuguesa FC11.6%
Questions about Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC
Portuguesa FC or Carabobo FC: which side does the model back?
The model gives Carabobo FC the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Portuguesa FC find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Carabobo FC in 75%.
When do Portuguesa FC play Carabobo FC?
Portuguesa FC vs Carabobo FC starts at 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.