Venezuela Primera División
Monagas SCHomeWDLLW
Tue 3 Nov
Caracas FCAwayWWLWL432730
Monagas SC winDrawCaracas FC win
Monagas SCHomeWDLLWCaracas FCAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.84 1.57 : 1.27
- Favourite
- 43% Monagas SC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.12 | 3.28 | 3.02 | 1.74 | 1.94 | 1.60 | 2.15 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.21 | 3.18 | 2.93 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.58 | 2.19 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.28 | 3.25 | 2.94 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.59 | 2.16 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.21 | 3.18 | 2.93 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.58 | 2.19 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.21 | 3.18 | 2.93 | 1.72 | 1.96 | 1.58 | 2.19 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Monagas SC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Monagas SC vs Caracas FC prediction: Monagas SC 2.28 (BC.Game), draw 3.28 (1xBet), Caracas FC 3.02 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.00 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.19 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Monagas SC or Caracas FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Monagas SC, full-time Monagas SC
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair
Monagas SC v Caracas FC head to head
2Monagas SC wins
0Draws
0Caracas FC wins
2 meetings since coverage began, 6 goals in total: Monagas SC scored 4, Caracas FC scored 2.
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC odds movement
Monagas SC win2.28+0.09
Draw3.28-0.12
Caracas FC win3.02-0.09
Over 2.5 goals1.74-0.04
Under 2.5 goals2.00-0.02
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 00:00 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC prediction
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC prediction and best bet
Monagas SC host Caracas FC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the Venezuela Primera División, and the model has Monagas SC at 43%, the draw at 27% and Caracas FC at 30%: that is the Monagas SC vs Caracas FC prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.57 for Monagas SC and 1.27 for Caracas FC, a total of 2.84, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Monagas SC or Caracas FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. BC.Game offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Monagas SC average 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Caracas FC 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.
Head to head, the last 2 meetings went 2 to Monagas SC, 0 to Caracas FC and 0 drawn, with 3.0 goals a game and both teams scoring in 1 of them.
How many goals in Monagas SC vs Caracas FC? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 59%: Monagas SC find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Caracas FC in 72%. Monagas SC keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Caracas FC 21%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC: 1-1 (11.6%), 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Monagas SC, full-time Monagas SC is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market rated for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 27% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Monagas SC to win43%2.28
Draw27%3.28
Caracas FC to win30%3.02
Monagas SC, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Caracas FC, draw no bet41%fair 2.46
Double chance
Monagas SC or draw70%1.34
Caracas FC or draw57%1.57
Monagas SC or Caracas FC (no draw)73%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.74
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals47%2.00
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.60
Not both teams to score42%2.19
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Monagas SC to score79%fair 1.26
Caracas FC to score72%fair 1.39
Monagas SC clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Caracas FC clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Monagas SC to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Caracas FC to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-09.2%
2-19.1%
0-17.4%
1-27.4%
2-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Monagas SC / Monagas SC26.8%
Caracas FC / Caracas FC17.8%
Draw / Monagas SC14.9%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Caracas FC11%
Questions about Monagas SC vs Caracas FC
Who will win Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
The model gives Monagas SC the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Monagas SC find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Caracas FC in 72%.
What time does Monagas SC vs Caracas FC kick off?
Kick-off is 21:30 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.