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Live 26 UTC
USL Championship Round of 16 Friday, 30 October 2026 AET
Louisville CityHomeWWWDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsAwayLWDWL
532720
Louisville City winDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.30
1.50 : 0.80
Favourite
53%
Louisville City
Over 2.5 goals
40%
model chance
Both teams to score
44%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.663.384.822.171.592.051.67Bet
22Bet1.703.385.372.401.542.281.59Bet
BC.Game1.673.305.002.341.552.161.58Bet
Betwinner1.713.244.722.271.542.091.65Bet
Melbet1.703.385.372.401.542.281.59Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Louisville City to win partner prices

Betwinner pay the best Louisville City price at 1.71, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.38 and Melbet have Pittsburgh Riverhounds longest at 5.37.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.40 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.59 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.28 (Melbet) and no 1.67 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

53%

Our prediction

Louisville City to win
StrongExpected goals 1.50 : 0.80-8.7% against the best price
Double chanceLouisville City or draw
80% chance1.13
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.59
BTTSNot both teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.67fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Louisville City, full-time Louisville City
33% chance3.05fair

Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds prediction

Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds prediction, who wins and at what price

Louisville City host Pittsburgh Riverhounds on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the USL Championship, and the model has Louisville City at 53%, the draw at 27% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 20%: that is the Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds prediction in one line.

Louisville City are expected to score 1.50 and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0.80, so the total line is 2.30 goals; over 2.5 lands at 40% and BTTS at 44%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds is louisville City to win, a 53% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.71 at Betwinner, which implies 58%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, louisville City or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.13.

Over the last 5 matches Louisville City stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Pittsburgh Riverhounds show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

A low-scoring Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 60% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 44%, built from Louisville City scoring in 78% of runs and Pittsburgh Riverhounds in 55%; clean sheets come at 45% for Louisville City and 22% for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 15%, followed by 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (11.3%).

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Louisville City, full-time Louisville City leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 53% / 27% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Louisville City to win53%1.71
Draw27%3.38
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win20%5.37
Louisville City, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, draw no bet27%fair 3.73

Double chance

Louisville City or draw80%1.13
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw47%2.07
Louisville City or Pittsburgh Riverhounds (no draw)73%1.29

Goals

Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.40
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 11.90
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.02
Under 2.5 goals60%1.59
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25

BTTS

Both teams to score44%2.28
Not both teams to score56%1.67

Halves

First-half goal65%fair 1.55
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.61
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39

Team goals

Louisville City to score78%fair 1.29
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score55%fair 1.81
Louisville City clean sheet45%fair 2.23
Pittsburgh Riverhounds clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Louisville City to win to nil41%fair 2.42
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win to nil18%fair 5.56

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-015%
1-112%
2-011.3%
0-010%
2-19%
0-18%

Half-time / full-time

Louisville City / Louisville City32.8%
Draw / Louisville City18.9%
Draw / Draw17.6%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds / Pittsburgh Riverhounds10.8%
Draw / Pittsburgh Riverhounds8.2%

Questions about Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Who is favourite in Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

The model gives Louisville City the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 40%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Louisville City vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 44%. Louisville City find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Pittsburgh Riverhounds in 55%.

When do Louisville City play Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Louisville City v Pittsburgh RiverhoundsLouisville City to win, 53%
1.71Bet