Thai League 1
BG Pathum UnitedHomeDLDWW
Sun 8 Nov
Rayong FCAwayDLDLL482329
BG Pathum United winDrawRayong FC win
BG Pathum UnitedHomeDLDWWRayong FCAwayDLDLL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.06 1.76 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 48% BG Pathum United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
77%
Our prediction
BG Pathum United or Rayong FC (no draw)
1.31fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.70fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.66fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BG Pathum United, full-time BG Pathum United
30% chance3.36fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.34fair
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC prediction
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC prediction, who wins and at what price
BG Pathum United host Rayong FC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Thai League 1, and the model has BG Pathum United at 48%, the draw at 23% and Rayong FC at 28%: that is the BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.06 in total, split 1.76 to BG Pathum United and 1.30 to Rayong FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 60%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is bG Pathum United or Rayong FC (no draw) at 77%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Form check: BG Pathum United have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 4 conceded, Rayong FC 0 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 13.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC
On the goal lines BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. BG Pathum United score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Rayong FC; Rayong FC score in 73% while BG Pathum United shut them out 27% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC: 1-1 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.3%).
With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time BG Pathum United, full-time BG Pathum United leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC
The grid built from 1.76 and 1.30 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
BG Pathum United to win48%fair 2.07
Draw23%fair 4.27
Rayong FC to win28%fair 3.52
BG Pathum United, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Rayong FC, draw no bet37%fair 2.70
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw72%fair 1.40
Rayong FC or draw52%fair 1.93
BG Pathum United or Rayong FC (no draw)77%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%fair 1.70
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals41%fair 2.43
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58
BTTS
Both teams to score60%fair 1.66
Not both teams to score40%fair 2.51
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
BG Pathum United to score83%fair 1.21
Rayong FC to score73%fair 1.38
BG Pathum United clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Rayong FC clean sheet17%fair 5.81
BG Pathum United to win to nil25%fair 3.98
Rayong FC to win to nil16%fair 6.33
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.7%
2-19.4%
1-08.3%
2-07.3%
1-27%
2-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
BG Pathum United / BG Pathum United29.8%
Rayong FC / Rayong FC16.4%
Draw / BG Pathum United15.4%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Rayong FC10%
Questions about BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC
BG Pathum United or Rayong FC: which side does the model back?
The model gives BG Pathum United the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. BG Pathum United find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Rayong FC in 73%.
When do BG Pathum United play Rayong FC?
BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC starts at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.