Thai League 1
BG Pathum UnitedHomeDLDWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Chiangrai UnitedAwayLLLL552520
BG Pathum United winDrawChiangrai United win
BG Pathum UnitedHomeDLDWWChiangrai UnitedAwayLLLL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.61 1.68 : 0.93
- Favourite
- 55% BG Pathum United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.64 | 4.97 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
BG Pathum United to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United prediction: BG Pathum United 1.58 (1xBet), draw 3.64 (1xBet), Chiangrai United 4.97 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.84 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
BG Pathum United to win
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw
80% chance1.10
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.84
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time BG Pathum United, full-time BG Pathum United
34% chance2.92fair
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United prediction
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United prediction and best bet
BG Pathum United are a narrow favourite in the BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United prediction, rated 55% to win this Thai League 1 match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Chiangrai United sit at 20% and the draw at 25%.
BG Pathum United are expected to score 1.68 and Chiangrai United 0.93, so the total line is 2.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is bG Pathum United to win at 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.58 at 1xBet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 9 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, bG Pathum United or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.10.
Over the last 5 matches BG Pathum United stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Chiangrai United show 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in 4.
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 48%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 52% and under 3.5 is 73%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.84.
Both teams to score is 49%: BG Pathum United find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Chiangrai United in 61%. BG Pathum United keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Chiangrai United 19%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United: 1-0 (12.4%), 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time BG Pathum United, full-time BG Pathum United leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 25% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
BG Pathum United to win55%1.58
Draw25%3.64
Chiangrai United to win20%4.97
BG Pathum United, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Chiangrai United, draw no bet27%fair 3.69
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw80%1.10
Chiangrai United or draw45%2.10
BG Pathum United or Chiangrai United (no draw)75%1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%1.83
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.76
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.06
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.77
Under 2.5 goals52%1.84
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.36
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.82
Not both teams to score51%1.85
Halves
First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.05
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31
Team goals
BG Pathum United to score81%fair 1.23
Chiangrai United to score61%fair 1.65
BG Pathum United clean sheet40%fair 2.53
Chiangrai United clean sheet19%fair 5.38
BG Pathum United to win to nil36%fair 2.75
Chiangrai United to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.4%
1-111.5%
2-010.4%
2-19.7%
0-07.4%
0-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
BG Pathum United / BG Pathum United34.2%
Draw / BG Pathum United18.2%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Chiangrai United / Chiangrai United11.4%
Draw / Chiangrai United8.1%
Questions about BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United
Who is favourite in BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
The model gives BG Pathum United the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. BG Pathum United find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Chiangrai United in 61%.
When is BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.