Superettan predictions for every fixture

Superettan predictions for the coming round

Superettan predictions cover 10 of the next 10 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 48% chance, the draw 24%, over 2.5 goals 57% and BTTS 59%.

Expected goals average 3.00 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 6 of the 10 rated fixtures. 1 pick reaches banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Superettan pick of the round is helsingborg or Falkenbergs FF (no draw) in Helsingborg v Falkenbergs FF on Sat 7 Nov, rated 77%.

No Superettan pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Superettan odds table.

Superettan results and trends, last 60 days

The last 62 Superettan matches of the past 60 days produced 24 home wins, 16 draws and 22 away wins. That is a home win rate of 39% and a draw rate of 26%.

Goals averaged 2.98 a match, 1.56 for the home side and 1.42 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 56% of matches and over 1.5 in 81%. Both teams scored in 58%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 42%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was IK brage 4-5 Osters IF on Sat 24 Oct.

The model rates over 2.5 at 57% for the coming round against a 56% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Superettan tips have gone

8 Superettan tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 5 won and 3 lost, a hit rate of 63%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is +18.5%.

The best-performing market for the competition appears here once any single market reaches five settled tips. Until then the figures above cover every market together and move quickly from round to round.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 16 further Superettan tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Superettan odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 4 of the coming Superettan fixtures, with a median of 4 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 92.8% of stakes across the round, against 92.5% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 0.3 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with Superettan rows included whenever they qualify.