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Live 16 UTC
Superettan Round 30 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
IFK VarnamoHomeWLWLW
Sat 7 Nov
IFK NorrkopingAwayWWDWW
232453
IFK Varnamo winDrawIFK Norrkoping win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.18
1.22 : 1.96
Favourite
54%
IFK Norrkoping
Over 2.5 goals
61%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.693.821.831.482.331.492.44Bet
22Bet3.693.821.831.482.331.492.44Bet
Betwinner3.693.821.831.482.331.492.44Bet
Melbet3.693.821.831.482.331.492.44Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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IFK Norrkoping to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best IFK Varnamo price at 3.69, Melbet lead the draw at 3.82 and Melbet have IFK Norrkoping longest at 1.83.

The best-price payout across the three results is 92.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.48 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.33 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.49 (Betwinner) and no 2.44 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

54%

Our prediction

IFK Norrkoping to win
StrongExpected goals 1.22 : 1.96-1.7% against the best price
Double chanceIFK Norrkoping or draw
77% chance1.24
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.48
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.49
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time IFK Norrkoping, full-time IFK Norrkoping
35% chance2.89fair

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping prediction

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping prediction, who wins and at what price

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping prediction for the Superettan on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes IFK Norrkoping a narrow favourite at 54%, with the draw at 24% and IFK Varnamo at 23%.

IFK Varnamo are expected to score 1.22 and IFK Norrkoping 1.96, so the total line is 3.18 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping is iFK Norrkoping to win, a 54% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.83 at Melbet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, iFK Norrkoping or draw covers 77% of outcomes at 1.24.

IFK Varnamo average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, IFK Norrkoping 3.2 and 0.6 across 5.

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 39% and under 3.5 61%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 83% and over 2.5 at 61%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.48.

BTTS yes stands at 62%. IFK Varnamo score in 71% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for IFK Norrkoping; IFK Norrkoping score in 86% while IFK Varnamo shut them out 14% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%, followed by 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

With the top scoreline at 9.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time IFK Norrkoping, full-time IFK Norrkoping is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.

Every market rated for IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 23% / 24% / 54% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

IFK Varnamo to win23%3.69
Draw24%3.82
IFK Norrkoping to win54%1.83
IFK Varnamo, draw no bet30%fair 3.36
IFK Norrkoping, draw no bet70%fair 1.42

Double chance

IFK Varnamo or draw46%1.88
IFK Norrkoping or draw77%1.24
IFK Varnamo or IFK Norrkoping (no draw)77%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.48
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.63
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.75
Under 2.5 goals39%2.33
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.65

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.49
Not both teams to score38%2.44

Halves

First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.39
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21

Team goals

IFK Varnamo to score71%fair 1.42
IFK Norrkoping to score86%fair 1.16
IFK Varnamo clean sheet14%fair 7.09
IFK Norrkoping clean sheet30%fair 3.39
IFK Varnamo to win to nil13%fair 7.69
IFK Norrkoping to win to nil27%fair 3.68

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.9%
1-29.7%
0-18.2%
0-28%
1-36.4%
2-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

IFK Norrkoping / IFK Norrkoping34.6%
Draw / IFK Norrkoping16.6%
IFK Varnamo / IFK Varnamo13.4%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / IFK Varnamo8.4%

Questions about IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping

IFK Varnamo or IFK Norrkoping: which side does the model back?

The model gives IFK Norrkoping the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. IFK Varnamo find the net in 71% of simulated matches and IFK Norrkoping in 86%.

What time does IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping kick off?

IFK Varnamo vs IFK Norrkoping starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, IFK Varnamo v IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping to win, 54%
1.83Bet