Allsvenskan
SiriusHomeWWDLL
2:2Half-time 0:1
IF ElfsborgAwayWDDDW442630
Sirius winDrawIF Elfsborg win
SiriusHomeWWDLLIF ElfsborgAwayWDDDW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.91 1.61 : 1.30
- Favourite
- 44% Sirius
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 59% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.14 | 3.48 | 3.16 | 1.71 | 2.06 | 1.58 | 2.23 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sirius to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg are 2.14 for Sirius at 1xBet, 3.48 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.16 for IF Elfsborg at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.71 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (1xBet) and no 2.23 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Sirius or IF Elfsborg (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sirius, full-time Sirius
27% chance3.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction, who wins and at what price
Sirius are marginally ahead in the Sirius vs IF Elfsborg prediction, rated 44% to win this Allsvenskan match on Sunday, 18 October 2026. IF Elfsborg sit at 30% and the draw at 26%.
The goal expectancy is 2.91 in total, split 1.61 to Sirius and 1.30 to IF Elfsborg. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 59%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is sirius or IF Elfsborg (no draw) at 74%. At 1.28 with 1xBet the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Sirius have won 2 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, IF Elfsborg 2 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.71 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 59%. Sirius score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for IF Elfsborg; IF Elfsborg score in 73% while Sirius shut them out 27% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg: 1-1 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.8%).
With the top scoreline at 11.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sirius, full-time Sirius leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Sirius vs IF Elfsborg
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 44% / 26% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Sirius to win44%2.14
Draw26%3.48
IF Elfsborg to win30%3.16
Sirius, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
IF Elfsborg, draw no bet41%fair 2.47
Double chance
Sirius or draw70%1.33
IF Elfsborg or draw56%1.66
Sirius or IF Elfsborg (no draw)74%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.71
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.00
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.69
Under 2.5 goals45%2.06
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50
BTTS
Both teams to score59%1.58
Not both teams to score41%2.23
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Sirius to score80%fair 1.25
IF Elfsborg to score73%fair 1.38
Sirius clean sheet27%fair 3.66
IF Elfsborg clean sheet20%fair 5.00
Sirius to win to nil25%fair 3.98
IF Elfsborg to win to nil18%fair 5.43
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
2-19.2%
1-08.8%
1-27.4%
0-17.1%
2-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Sirius / Sirius27.1%
IF Elfsborg / IF Elfsborg17.9%
Draw / Sirius14.8%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / IF Elfsborg10.9%
Questions about Sirius vs IF Elfsborg
Who is favourite in Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
The model gives Sirius the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Sirius vs IF Elfsborg?
The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Sirius find the net in 80% of simulated matches and IF Elfsborg in 73%.
What time does Sirius vs IF Elfsborg kick off?
Sirius vs IF Elfsborg starts at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.