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Live 11 UTC
Allsvenskan Round 25 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
IF ElfsborgHomeWDDDW
0:0Half-time 0:0
Malmo FFAwayWLDWL
472528
IF Elfsborg winDrawMalmo FF win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
2.92
1.68 : 1.24
Favourite
47%
IF Elfsborg
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.053.603.281.682.111.562.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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IF Elfsborg to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best IF Elfsborg price at 2.05, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.60 and 1xBet have Malmo FF longest at 3.28.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.68 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.11 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.68 : 1.24-5.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time IF Elfsborg, full-time IF Elfsborg
29% chance3.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction

Our IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction and pick

IF Elfsborg are marginally ahead in the IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF prediction, rated 47% to win this Allsvenskan match on Friday, 23 October 2026. Malmo FF sit at 28% and the draw at 25%.

IF Elfsborg are expected to score 1.68 and Malmo FF 1.24, so the total line is 2.92 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches IF Elfsborg stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Malmo FF show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.68.

Both teams to score is 59%: IF Elfsborg find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Malmo FF in 71%. IF Elfsborg keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Malmo FF 19%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 2-1 at 9.4% and 1-0 at 9.1%.

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time IF Elfsborg, full-time IF Elfsborg is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

All markets, IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

IF Elfsborg to win47%2.05
Draw25%3.60
Malmo FF to win28%3.28
IF Elfsborg, draw no bet63%fair 1.59
Malmo FF, draw no bet37%fair 2.70

Double chance

IF Elfsborg or draw72%1.31
Malmo FF or draw53%1.72
IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF (no draw)75%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.68
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 2.5 goals45%2.11
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.56
Not both teams to score41%2.28

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

IF Elfsborg to score81%fair 1.23
Malmo FF to score71%fair 1.41
IF Elfsborg clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Malmo FF clean sheet19%fair 5.38
IF Elfsborg to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Malmo FF to win to nil17%fair 5.85

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.4%
1-09.1%
2-07.6%
1-27%
0-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

IF Elfsborg / IF Elfsborg29.3%
Malmo FF / Malmo FF16.2%
Draw / IF Elfsborg15.6%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Draw / Malmo FF10.1%

Questions about IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF

IF Elfsborg or Malmo FF: which side does the model back?

The model gives IF Elfsborg the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. IF Elfsborg find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Malmo FF in 71%.

What time does IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF kick off?

IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF starts at 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, IF Elfsborg v Malmo FFIF Elfsborg or Malmo FF (no draw), 75%
1.26Bet