Primera División RFEF - Group 2
AlcorconHomeWLDDD
Sat 7 Nov
Real JaénAwayLDDWD552421
Alcorcon winDrawReal Jaén win
AlcorconHomeWLDDDReal JaénAwayLDDWD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.70 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 55% Alcorcon
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Alcorcon vs Real Jaén betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Alcorcon vs Real Jaén yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
55%
Our prediction
Alcorcon to win
1.81fair
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.97fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
50% chance2.00fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alcorcon, full-time Alcorcon
34% chance2.91fair
Alcorcon vs Real Jaén prediction
Alcorcon vs Real Jaén prediction, who wins and at what price
The Alcorcon vs Real Jaén prediction leans to Alcorcon: 55% against 21% for Real Jaén, with 24% left for the draw, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 on Saturday, 7 November 2026.
Alcorcon are expected to score 1.70 and Real Jaén 0.94, so the total line is 2.64 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is alcorcon to win at 55%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Alcorcon or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance.
Form check: Alcorcon have won 1 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 6 conceded, Real Jaén 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 6.
Alcorcon vs Real Jaén goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Alcorcon score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Real Jaén; Real Jaén score in 61% while Alcorcon shut them out 39% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.1%, then 1-1 at 11.4% and 2-0 at 10.3%.
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Alcorcon vs Real Jaén; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Alcorcon, full-time Alcorcon leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Alcorcon vs Real Jaén
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 24% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Alcorcon to win55%fair 1.81
Draw24%fair 4.17
Real Jaén to win21%fair 4.83
Alcorcon, draw no bet73%fair 1.37
Real Jaén, draw no bet27%fair 3.68
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw79%fair 1.26
Real Jaén or draw45%fair 2.24
Alcorcon or Real Jaén (no draw)76%fair 1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%fair 2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%fair 1.97
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.00
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Alcorcon to score82%fair 1.22
Real Jaén to score61%fair 1.64
Alcorcon clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Real Jaén clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Alcorcon to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Real Jaén to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.1%
1-111.4%
2-010.3%
2-19.7%
0-07.1%
0-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Alcorcon / Alcorcon34.4%
Draw / Alcorcon18.2%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Real Jaén / Real Jaén11.4%
Draw / Real Jaén8.1%
Questions about Alcorcon vs Real Jaén
Who is favourite in Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
The model gives Alcorcon the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Alcorcon vs Real Jaén?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Alcorcon find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Real Jaén in 61%.
When do Alcorcon play Real Jaén?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.