Prva Liga
GrafičarHomeLDLLW
Mon 2 Nov
NapredakAwayWDWDL362935
Grafičar winDrawNapredak win
GrafičarHomeLDLLWNapredakAwayWDWDL- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.48 1.24 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 36% Grafičar
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Grafičar vs Napredak odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.06 | 2.51 | 1.99 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.43 | 3.05 | 2.61 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.43 | 3.05 | 2.61 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.91 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.43 | 3.05 | 2.61 | 2.01 | 1.69 | 1.76 | 1.91 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Grafičar to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Grafičar price at 2.52, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.06 and 22Bet have Napredak longest at 2.61.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (22Bet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Grafičar or Napredak (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Grafičar, full-time Grafičar
21% chance4.74fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Grafičar vs Napredak odds movement
Grafičar win2.52-0.23
Draw3.06-0.19
Napredak win2.61+0.15
Over 2.5 goals2.01+0.01
Under 2.5 goals1.70-0.10
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:58 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Grafičar vs Napredak prediction
Our Grafičar vs Napredak prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Grafičar vs Napredak prediction for Monday, 2 November 2026: 36% home, 29% draw and 36% away in the Prva Liga. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.24 for Grafičar and 1.24 for Napredak, a total of 2.48, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Grafičar vs Napredak is grafičar or Napredak (no draw), a 72% chance. At 1.26 with 22Bet the market prices it at 79%, against 72% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Grafičar have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Napredak 2 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 2.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Grafičar vs Napredak
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 71%, over 2.5 at 45%, over 3.5 at 24%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 76%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Grafičar find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Napredak in 71%. Grafičar keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Napredak 29%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Grafičar, full-time Grafičar is the top combination at 21%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
Every market for Grafičar vs Napredak
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Grafičar vs Napredak, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Grafičar to win36%2.52
Draw29%3.06
Napredak to win36%2.61
Grafičar, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Napredak, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Double chance
Grafičar or draw64%1.38
Napredak or draw64%1.41
Grafičar or Napredak (no draw)72%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.01
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.44
Under 2.5 goals55%1.70
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.76
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.26
Second-half goal74%fair 1.34
Team goals
Grafičar to score71%fair 1.41
Napredak to score71%fair 1.41
Grafičar clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Napredak clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Grafičar to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Napredak to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-110.4%
1-010.4%
0-08.4%
1-28%
2-18%
Half-time / full-time
Grafičar / Grafičar21.1%
Napredak / Napredak21.1%
Draw / Draw17%
Draw / Grafičar13.4%
Draw / Napredak13.4%
Questions about Grafičar vs Napredak
Who will win Grafičar vs Napredak?
The model gives Grafičar the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Grafičar vs Napredak correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Grafičar vs Napredak?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Grafičar find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Napredak in 71%.
When do Grafičar play Napredak?
Grafičar vs Napredak starts at 12:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.