National Soccer League
BugeseraHomeWWL
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APRAwayLLW212851
Bugesera winDrawAPR win
BugeseraHomeWWLAPRAwayLLW- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.15 0.78 : 1.37
- Favourite
- 51% APR
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Bugesera vs APR betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.37 | 3.12 | 1.79 | 2.44 | 1.47 | 2.16 | 1.59 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
APR to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Bugesera vs APR are 4.37 for Bugesera at 1xBet, 3.12 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.79 for APR at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.44 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.47 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.16 (1xBet) and no 1.59 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
51%
Our prediction
APR to win
Double chanceAPR or draw
79% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
64% chance1.47
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
63% chance1.58fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time APR, full-time APR
30% chance3.29fair
Bugesera vs APR prediction
Our Bugesera vs APR prediction and pick
The Bugesera vs APR prediction leans to APR: 51% against 21% for Bugesera, with 28% left for the draw, in the National Soccer League on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
Expected goals are 0.78 for Bugesera and 1.37 for APR, a total of 2.15, which puts over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 41%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is aPR to win at 51%. The best price in our comparison is 1.79 at 1xBet, which implies 56%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Bugesera vs APR.
For a safer line, aPR or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.14.
Form check: Bugesera have won 2 of their last 3 with 4 scored and 1 conceded, APR 1 of 3 scoring 2 and conceding 2.
A low-scoring Bugesera vs APR? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 64% and under 3.5 83%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 63% and over 2.5 at 36%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 41%: Bugesera find the net in 54% of simulated matches and APR in 75%. Bugesera keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and APR 46%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bugesera vs APR: 0-1 (16%), 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-0 (11.6%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time APR, full-time APR leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 62%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Bugesera vs APR
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 21% / 28% / 51% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Bugesera to win21%4.37
Draw28%3.12
APR to win51%1.79
Bugesera, draw no bet29%fair 3.45
APR, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Double chance
Bugesera or draw49%1.82
APR or draw79%1.14
Bugesera or APR (no draw)72%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 goals63%fair 1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.44
Over 3.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Over 4.5 goals7%fair 14.93
Under 1.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Under 2.5 goals64%1.47
Under 3.5 goals83%fair 1.21
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.16
Not both teams to score59%1.59
Halves
First-half goal62%fair 1.61
Over 1.5 first-half goals25%fair 3.97
Second-half goal69%fair 1.44
Team goals
Bugesera to score54%fair 1.85
APR to score75%fair 1.34
Bugesera clean sheet25%fair 3.94
APR clean sheet46%fair 2.18
Bugesera to win to nil19%fair 5.24
APR to win to nil42%fair 2.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
0-116%
1-112.4%
0-011.6%
0-210.9%
1-09.1%
1-28.5%
Half-time / full-time
APR / APR30.4%
Draw / Draw19.3%
Draw / APR18.5%
Bugesera / Bugesera11.5%
Draw / Bugesera8.9%
Questions about Bugesera vs APR
Bugesera or APR: which side does the model back?
The model gives APR the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 28%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Bugesera vs APR correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 36% backs the same picture with less variance.
Bugesera vs APR both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Bugesera find the net in 54% of simulated matches and APR in 75%.
When is Bugesera vs APR and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.