National Soccer League
Al MerreikhHomeDLWWD
v
AS KigaliAwayWL433522
Al Merreikh winDrawAS Kigali win
Al MerreikhHomeDLWWDAS KigaliAwayWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 1.55 0.96 : 0.59
- Favourite
- 43% Al Merreikh
- Over 2.5 goals
- 20% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 28% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
78%
Our prediction
Al Merreikh or draw
1.28fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
73% chance1.38fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
46% chance2.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
21% chance4.72fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
28% chance3.57fair
First halfFirst-half goal
50% chance1.99fair
Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali prediction
Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali prediction and best bet
Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali prediction for the National Soccer League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Al Merreikh marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 35% and AS Kigali at 22%.
Expected goals are 0.96 for Al Merreikh and 0.59 for AS Kigali, a total of 1.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 20% and both teams to score at 28%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is al Merreikh or draw at 78%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 35% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
A low-scoring Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 46%, over 2.5 at 20%, over 3.5 at 7%; under 2.5 is 80% and under 3.5 is 93%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 80%.
BTTS yes stands at 28%. Al Merreikh score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for AS Kigali; AS Kigali score in 45% while Al Merreikh shut them out 55% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 73%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali: 0-0 (21.2%), 1-0 (20.4%) and 0-1 (12.5%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 50%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali
The grid built from 0.96 and 0.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Merreikh to win43%fair 2.31
Draw35%fair 2.86
AS Kigali to win22%fair 4.61
Al Merreikh, draw no bet67%fair 1.50
AS Kigali, draw no bet33%fair 2.99
Double chance
Al Merreikh or draw78%fair 1.28
AS Kigali or draw57%fair 1.76
Al Merreikh or AS Kigali (no draw)65%fair 1.54
Goals
Over 0.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 goals46%fair 2.18
Over 2.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Over 3.5 goals7%fair 13.89
Over 4.5 goals2%fair 47.62
Under 1.5 goals54%fair 1.85
Under 2.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Under 3.5 goals93%fair 1.08
BTTS
Both teams to score28%fair 3.64
Not both teams to score73%fair 1.38
Halves
First-half goal50%fair 1.99
Over 1.5 first-half goals16%fair 6.45
Second-half goal57%fair 1.74
Team goals
Al Merreikh to score62%fair 1.62
AS Kigali to score45%fair 2.24
Al Merreikh clean sheet55%fair 1.81
AS Kigali clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Al Merreikh to win to nil40%fair 2.52
AS Kigali to win to nil20%fair 5.00
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.10
Even number of goals52%fair 1.91
Most likely scores
0-021.2%
1-020.4%
0-112.5%
1-112%
2-09.8%
2-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw28%
Al Merreikh / Al Merreikh24.2%
Draw / Al Merreikh17.8%
AS Kigali / AS Kigali11.4%
Draw / AS Kigali9.9%
Questions about Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali
Who will win Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali?
The model gives Al Merreikh the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 35%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 21.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 20% backs the same picture with less variance.
Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 28%. Al Merreikh find the net in 62% of simulated matches and AS Kigali in 45%.
What time does Al Merreikh vs AS Kigali kick off?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.