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Liga I Round 12 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT
Universitatea CraiovaHomeWWWDW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Farul ConstantaAwayLWLW
691813
Universitatea Craiova winDrawFarul Constanta win
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct
Expected goals
3.03
2.20 : 0.83
Favourite
69%
Universitatea Craiova
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.364.757.471.632.171.861.84Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Universitatea Craiova to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Universitatea Craiova price at 1.36, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.75 and 1xBet have Farul Constanta longest at 7.47.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (1xBet) and no 1.84 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

69%

Our prediction

Universitatea Craiova to win
BankerExpected goals 2.20 : 0.83-6.4% against the best price
Double chanceUniversitatea Craiova or draw
87% chance1.06
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Universitatea Craiova, full-time Universitatea Craiova
46% chance2.19fair

Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction

Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction and best bet

Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction for the Liga I on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Universitatea Craiova the clear favourite at 69%, with the draw at 18% and Farul Constanta at 13%.

The goal expectancy is 3.03 in total, split 2.20 to Universitatea Craiova and 0.83 to Farul Constanta. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is universitatea Craiova to win at 69%. The best price in our comparison is 1.36 at 1xBet, which implies 74%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta.

Universitatea Craiova or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.06.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Universitatea Craiova average 2.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Farul Constanta 1.8 and 2.5 across 4.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta

On the goal lines Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta reads 81% for over 1.5, 58% for over 2.5 and 36% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 42%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.63.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. Universitatea Craiova score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Farul Constanta; Farul Constanta score in 56% while Universitatea Craiova shut them out 44% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%, followed by 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.7%).

With the top scoreline at 11.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Universitatea Craiova, full-time Universitatea Craiova leads at 46%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta

The grid built from 2.20 and 0.83 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Universitatea Craiova to win69%1.36
Draw18%4.75
Farul Constanta to win13%7.47
Universitatea Craiova, draw no bet84%fair 1.19
Farul Constanta, draw no bet16%fair 6.21

Double chance

Universitatea Craiova or draw87%1.06
Farul Constanta or draw31%2.90
Universitatea Craiova or Farul Constanta (no draw)82%1.15

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.63
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 2.5 goals42%2.17
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56

BTTS

Both teams to score50%1.86
Not both teams to score50%1.84

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.53
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Universitatea Craiova to score89%fair 1.12
Farul Constanta to score56%fair 1.77
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet44%fair 2.29
Farul Constanta clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Universitatea Craiova to win to nil40%fair 2.49
Farul Constanta to win to nil10%fair 9.80

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.7%
1-010.6%
2-19.7%
1-18.8%
3-08.6%
3-17.1%

Half-time / full-time

Universitatea Craiova / Universitatea Craiova45.7%
Draw / Universitatea Craiova19.8%
Draw / Draw11.1%
Farul Constanta / Farul Constanta6.9%
Draw / Farul Constanta5%

Questions about Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta

Who is favourite in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?

The model gives Universitatea Craiova the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Universitatea Craiova find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Farul Constanta in 56%.

What time does Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Universitatea Craiova v Farul ConstantaUniversitatea Craiova to win, 69%
1.36Bet