Professional League
Al-ShababHomeWW
2:1Half-time 0:1
SmailAwayDDL75178
Al-Shabab winDrawSmail win
Al-ShababHomeWWSmailAwayDDL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.84 2.23 : 0.61
- Favourite
- 75% Al-Shabab
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Al-Shabab vs Smail betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.26 | 4.65 | 9.95 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 2.18 | 1.58 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al-Shabab to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Al-Shabab price at 1.26, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.65 and 1xBet have Smail longest at 9.95.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.18 (1xBet) and no 1.58 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Al-Shabab to win
Double chanceAl-Shabab or draw
92% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.76
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
15% chance6.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al-Shabab, full-time Al-Shabab
50% chance1.98fair
Al-Shabab vs Smail prediction
Al-Shabab vs Smail prediction and best bet
Al-Shabab vs Smail prediction for the Professional League on Friday, 23 October 2026: the model makes Al-Shabab the clear favourite at 75%, with the draw at 17% and Smail at 9%.
Al-Shabab are expected to score 2.23 and Smail 0.61, so the total line is 2.84 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Al-Shabab vs Smail is al-Shabab to win, a 75% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al-Shabab vs Smail.
For a safer line, al-Shabab or draw covers 92% of outcomes at -.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Al-Shabab vs Smail goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.76 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 42%: Al-Shabab find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Smail in 46%. Al-Shabab keep a clean sheet 54% of the time and Smail 11%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14.5%, followed by 1-0 (13%) and 3-0 (10.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al-Shabab, full-time Al-Shabab leads at 50%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al-Shabab vs Smail
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Al-Shabab vs Smail, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Al-Shabab to win75%1.26
Draw17%4.65
Smail to win9%9.95
Al-Shabab, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Smail, draw no bet10%fair 9.80
Double chance
Al-Shabab or draw92%-
Smail or draw25%3.17
Al-Shabab or Smail (no draw)83%1.12
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.76
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.33
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals47%1.92
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.18
Not both teams to score58%1.58
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Al-Shabab to score89%fair 1.12
Smail to score46%fair 2.19
Al-Shabab clean sheet54%fair 1.84
Smail clean sheet11%fair 9.26
Al-Shabab to win to nil50%fair 2.00
Smail to win to nil8%fair 12.82
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-014.5%
1-013%
3-010.8%
2-18.9%
1-17.9%
3-16.6%
Half-time / full-time
Al-Shabab / Al-Shabab50.4%
Draw / Al-Shabab21.4%
Draw / Draw11%
Smail / Smail4.5%
Draw / Smail3.6%
Questions about Al-Shabab vs Smail
Who is favourite in Al-Shabab vs Smail?
The model gives Al-Shabab the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Al-Shabab vs Smail?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
Al-Shabab vs Smail both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Al-Shabab find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Smail in 46%.
When do Al-Shabab play Smail?
Al-Shabab vs Smail starts at 12:50 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.