NPFL
Warri WolvesHomeLWDDD
Sun 8 Nov
Katsina UnitedAwayDWLDW532918
Warri Wolves winDrawKatsina United win
Warri WolvesHomeLWDDDKatsina UnitedAwayDWLDW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.94 1.31 : 0.63
- Favourite
- 53% Warri Wolves
- Over 2.5 goals
- 31% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 34% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Warri Wolves vs Katsina United
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Warri Wolves vs Katsina United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
53%
Our prediction
Warri Wolves to win
1.88fair
Double chanceWarri Wolves or draw
82% chance1.22fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.44fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
66% chance1.52fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.73fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
19% chance5.32fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Warri Wolves, full-time Warri Wolves
32% chance3.15fair
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United prediction
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United prediction and best bet
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United prediction for the NPFL on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Warri Wolves a narrow favourite at 53%, with the draw at 29% and Katsina United at 18%.
Expected goals are 1.31 for Warri Wolves and 0.63 for Katsina United, a total of 1.94, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 34%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Warri Wolves to win is the main selection, rated 53%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, warri Wolves or draw covers 82% of outcomes.
Over the last 5 matches Warri Wolves stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Katsina United show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Warri Wolves vs Katsina United? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Warri Wolves vs Katsina United reads 58% for over 1.5, 31% for over 2.5 and 13% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 69%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 34%, built from Warri Wolves scoring in 73% of runs and Katsina United in 47%; clean sheets come at 53% for Warri Wolves and 27% for Katsina United.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 18.8%, then 0-0 at 14.4% and 2-0 at 12.3%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Warri Wolves, full-time Warri Wolves leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 58%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Warri Wolves vs Katsina United
The grid built from 1.31 and 0.63 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Warri Wolves to win53%fair 1.88
Draw29%fair 3.46
Katsina United to win18%fair 5.59
Warri Wolves, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Katsina United, draw no bet25%fair 3.97
Double chance
Warri Wolves or draw82%fair 1.22
Katsina United or draw47%fair 2.14
Warri Wolves or Katsina United (no draw)71%fair 1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.73
Over 2.5 goals31%fair 3.26
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Under 2.5 goals69%fair 1.44
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score34%fair 2.93
Not both teams to score66%fair 1.52
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.59
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52
Team goals
Warri Wolves to score73%fair 1.37
Katsina United to score47%fair 2.14
Warri Wolves clean sheet53%fair 1.88
Katsina United clean sheet27%fair 3.70
Warri Wolves to win to nil49%fair 2.04
Katsina United to win to nil17%fair 6.06
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-018.8%
0-014.4%
2-012.3%
1-111.9%
0-19.1%
2-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
Warri Wolves / Warri Wolves31.7%
Draw / Draw21.4%
Draw / Warri Wolves19.8%
Katsina United / Katsina United9.4%
Draw / Katsina United7.8%
Questions about Warri Wolves vs Katsina United
Who is favourite in Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
The model gives Warri Wolves the best chance at 53%, with the draw at 29%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 34%. Warri Wolves find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Katsina United in 47%.
When do Warri Wolves play Katsina United?
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.