Kazakhstan Premier League
OrdabasyHomeWWDL
1:1Half-time 0:0
ZhenysAwayLLLDW82126
Ordabasy winDrawZhenys win
OrdabasyHomeWWDLZhenysAwayLLLDW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.23 2.66 : 0.57
- Favourite
- 82% Ordabasy
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Ordabasy vs Zhenys
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.16 | 7.17 | 15.50 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 2.21 | 1.58 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Ordabasy to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Ordabasy vs Zhenys are 1.16 for Ordabasy at 1xBet, 7.17 for the draw at 1xBet and 15.50 for Zhenys at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.50 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.21 (1xBet) and no 1.58 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
82%
Our prediction
Ordabasy to win
Double chanceOrdabasy or draw
94% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.50
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
14% chance7.14fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ordabasy, full-time Ordabasy
58% chance1.72fair
Ordabasy vs Zhenys prediction
Our Ordabasy vs Zhenys prediction and pick
Ordabasy host Zhenys on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the Kazakhstan Premier League, and the model has Ordabasy at 82%, the draw at 12% and Zhenys at 6%: that is the Ordabasy vs Zhenys prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 2.66 for Ordabasy and 0.57 for Zhenys, a total of 3.23, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 41%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is ordabasy to win at 82%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.16. That price implies 86%, 4 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Ordabasy or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 12%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Ordabasy have won 2 of their last 4 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, Zhenys 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 11.
Goals forecast for Ordabasy vs Zhenys with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 62%; 1xBet pay 1.50.
Both teams to score is 41%: Ordabasy find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Zhenys in 43%. Ordabasy keep a clean sheet 57% of the time and Zhenys 7%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 14%, then 3-0 at 12.4% and 1-0 at 10.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Ordabasy, full-time Ordabasy leads at 58%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Ordabasy vs Zhenys
The grid built from 2.66 and 0.57 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Ordabasy to win82%1.16
Draw12%7.17
Zhenys to win6%15.50
Ordabasy, draw no bet93%fair 1.08
Zhenys, draw no bet7%fair 14.29
Double chance
Ordabasy or draw94%-
Zhenys or draw18%4.90
Ordabasy or Zhenys (no draw)88%1.08
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.50
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.48
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.95
Under 2.5 goals38%2.28
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.68
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.21
Not both teams to score59%1.58
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.35
Second-half goal83%fair 1.20
Team goals
Ordabasy to score93%fair 1.08
Zhenys to score43%fair 2.30
Ordabasy clean sheet57%fair 1.77
Zhenys clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Ordabasy to win to nil52%fair 1.92
Zhenys to win to nil6%fair 17.54
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-014%
3-012.4%
1-010.5%
4-08.3%
2-18%
3-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Ordabasy / Ordabasy58.2%
Draw / Ordabasy20.7%
Draw / Draw8%
Zhenys / Zhenys2.9%
Zhenys / Ordabasy2.6%
Questions about Ordabasy vs Zhenys
Who is favourite in Ordabasy vs Zhenys?
The model gives Ordabasy the best chance at 82%, with the draw at 12%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Ordabasy vs Zhenys correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 62%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Ordabasy vs Zhenys both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Ordabasy find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Zhenys in 43%.
When do Ordabasy play Zhenys?
Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.