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Live 15 UTC
Kazakhstan Premier League Round 29 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
OkzhetpesHomeWLWWW
3:0Half-time 1:0
KaspiyAwayWWDLL
652114
Okzhetpes winDrawKaspiy win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.97
2.08 : 0.89
Favourite
65%
Okzhetpes
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.504.266.091.692.111.781.91Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Okzhetpes to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Okzhetpes price at 1.50, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.26 and 1xBet have Kaspiy longest at 6.09.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.11 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (1xBet) and no 1.91 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

65%

Our prediction

Okzhetpes to win
BankerExpected goals 2.08 : 0.89-3.1% against the best price
Double chanceOkzhetpes or draw
85% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Okzhetpes, full-time Okzhetpes
42% chance2.36fair

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy prediction

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy prediction and best bet

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy prediction for the Kazakhstan Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Okzhetpes the clear favourite at 65%, with the draw at 21% and Kaspiy at 15%.

Okzhetpes are expected to score 2.08 and Kaspiy 0.89, so the total line is 2.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is okzhetpes to win at 65%. At 1.50 with 1xBet the market prices it at 67%, against 65% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy.

Okzhetpes or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 85% chance, priced 1.11.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Okzhetpes stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Kaspiy show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy

Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 56%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Okzhetpes scoring in 88% of runs and Kaspiy in 59%; clean sheets come at 41% for Okzhetpes and 13% for Kaspiy.

Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.1%, then 1-0 at 10.7% and 2-1 at 9.9%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Okzhetpes, full-time Okzhetpes leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy

The grid built from 2.08 and 0.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Okzhetpes to win65%1.50
Draw21%4.26
Kaspiy to win15%6.09
Okzhetpes, draw no bet82%fair 1.23
Kaspiy, draw no bet18%fair 5.43

Double chance

Okzhetpes or draw85%1.11
Kaspiy or draw35%2.51
Okzhetpes or Kaspiy (no draw)79%1.20

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals44%2.11
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.78
Not both teams to score48%1.91

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Okzhetpes to score88%fair 1.14
Kaspiy to score59%fair 1.70
Okzhetpes clean sheet41%fair 2.43
Kaspiy clean sheet13%fair 8.00
Okzhetpes to win to nil38%fair 2.65
Kaspiy to win to nil12%fair 8.70

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-011.1%
1-010.7%
2-19.9%
1-19.5%
3-07.7%
3-16.8%

Half-time / full-time

Okzhetpes / Okzhetpes42.4%
Draw / Okzhetpes19.3%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Kaspiy / Kaspiy8.2%
Draw / Kaspiy5.9%

Questions about Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy

Okzhetpes or Kaspiy: which side does the model back?

The model gives Okzhetpes the best chance at 65%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Okzhetpes find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Kaspiy in 59%.

When do Okzhetpes play Kaspiy?

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy starts at 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Okzhetpes v KaspiyOkzhetpes to win, 65%
1.50Bet