Serie C - Girone B
PinetoHomeLDWWL
Mon 9 Nov
Vis PesaroAwayLLLLD552520
Pineto winDrawVis Pesaro win
PinetoHomeLDWWLVis PesaroAwayLLLLD- Kick-off Mon 9 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.55 1.64 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 55% Pineto
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Pineto vs Vis Pesaro yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
55%
Our prediction
Pineto to win
1.83fair
Double chancePineto or draw
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.88fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.92fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pineto, full-time Pineto
34% chance2.96fair
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro prediction
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro prediction and best bet
Pineto host Vis Pesaro on Monday, 9 November 2026 in the Serie C - Girone B, and the model has Pineto at 55%, the draw at 25% and Vis Pesaro at 21%: that is the Pineto vs Vis Pesaro prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.64 for Pineto and 0.91 for Vis Pesaro, a total of 2.55, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is pineto to win at 55%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, pineto or draw covers 79% of outcomes.
Pineto average 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across their last 5, Vis Pesaro 0.6 and 2.0 across 5.
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%.
Both teams to score is 48%: Pineto find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Vis Pesaro in 60%. Pineto keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Vis Pesaro 19%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.8%, followed by 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (10.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Pineto, full-time Pineto leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
The grid built from 1.64 and 0.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Pineto to win55%fair 1.83
Draw25%fair 4.07
Vis Pesaro to win21%fair 4.81
Pineto, draw no bet72%fair 1.38
Vis Pesaro, draw no bet28%fair 3.62
Double chance
Pineto or draw79%fair 1.26
Vis Pesaro or draw45%fair 2.20
Pineto or Vis Pesaro (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%fair 2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 2.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score48%fair 2.08
Not both teams to score52%fair 1.92
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.14
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33
Team goals
Pineto to score81%fair 1.24
Vis Pesaro to score60%fair 1.68
Pineto clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Vis Pesaro clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Pineto to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Vis Pesaro to win to nil18%fair 5.62
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.8%
1-111.7%
2-010.5%
2-19.6%
0-07.8%
0-17.1%
Half-time / full-time
Pineto / Pineto33.8%
Draw / Pineto18.3%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Vis Pesaro / Vis Pesaro11.4%
Draw / Vis Pesaro8.2%
Questions about Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
Who is favourite in Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
The model gives Pineto the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Pineto vs Vis Pesaro?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Pineto find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Vis Pesaro in 60%.
When is Pineto vs Vis Pesaro and where is the result shown?
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro starts at 19:30 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.