Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi prediction

Our Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi prediction for Sunday, 25 October 2026: 35% home, 33% draw and 32% away in the Persian Gulf Pro League. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 1.85 in total, split 0.96 to Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.89 to Fajr Sepasi. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 28% and both teams to score 38%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is nassaji Mazandaran or draw at 68%. The best price in our comparison is 1.35 at BC.Game, which implies 74%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi.

The draw is live at 33%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.

Over the last 4 matches Nassaji Mazandaran stand at 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Fajr Sepasi show 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 4.

A low-scoring Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 55%, over 2.5 at 28%, over 3.5 at 12%; under 2.5 is 72% and under 3.5 is 88%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 72%, best priced 1.38 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 38%: Nassaji Mazandaran find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Fajr Sepasi in 59%. Nassaji Mazandaran keep a clean sheet 41% of the time and Fajr Sepasi 38%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 15.7%, followed by 1-0 (15.1%) and 0-1 (14%).

Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 57%.