Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
RB LeipzigHomeLLWWW
Wed 4 Nov
Manchester CityAwayWWLDL192061
RB Leipzig winDrawManchester City win
Champions League
Matchday 4 Wednesday, 4 November 2026
Kick-off
RB LeipzigHomeLLWWWManchester CityAwayWWLDL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.73 1.31 : 2.42
- Favourite
- 61% Manchester City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.54 | 4.93 | 1.58 | 1.36 | 3.12 | 1.43 | 2.66 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.30 | 4.74 | 1.53 | 1.36 | 3.12 | 1.43 | 2.66 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.20 | 4.50 | 1.54 | 1.34 | 3.15 | 1.41 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.54 | 4.93 | 1.58 | 1.36 | 3.12 | 1.43 | 2.66 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.54 | 4.93 | 1.58 | 1.36 | 3.12 | 1.43 | 2.66 | Bet |
 Stake | 4.90 | 4.70 | 1.53 | - | - | 1.42 | 2.60 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Manchester City to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City are 5.54 for RB Leipzig at Melbet, 4.93 for the draw at Melbet and 1.58 for Manchester City at Melbet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 98.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.36 (1xBet) and under 2.5 3.15 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (Melbet) and no 2.68 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
61%
Our prediction
Manchester City to win
Double chanceManchester City or draw
81% chance1.20
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Manchester City, full-time Manchester City
41% chance2.44fair
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction, who wins and at what price
The RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction leans to Manchester City: 61% against 19% for RB Leipzig, with 20% left for the draw, in the Champions League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026.
RB Leipzig are expected to score 1.31 and Manchester City 2.42, so the total line is 3.73 goals; over 2.5 lands at 71% and BTTS at 67%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is manchester City to win at 61%. The best price in our comparison is 1.58 at Melbet, which implies 63%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.
For a safer line, manchester City or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.20.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
RB Leipzig average 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Manchester City 2.2 and 1.6 across 5.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 29% and under 3.5 49%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 89% and over 2.5 at 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%; 1xBet pay 1.36.
The chance of both teams scoring is 67%, built from RB Leipzig scoring in 73% of runs and Manchester City in 91%; clean sheets come at 9% for RB Leipzig and 27% for Manchester City.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.2%, then 1-1 at 7.6% and 1-3 at 7.4%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Manchester City, full-time Manchester City is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market rated for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
The grid built from 1.31 and 2.42 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
RB Leipzig to win19%5.54
Draw20%4.93
Manchester City to win61%1.58
RB Leipzig, draw no bet24%fair 4.24
Manchester City, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Double chance
RB Leipzig or draw39%2.61
Manchester City or draw81%1.20
RB Leipzig or Manchester City (no draw)80%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%1.36
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.14
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 2.5 goals29%3.15
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.05
BTTS
Both teams to score67%1.43
Not both teams to score33%2.68
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
RB Leipzig to score73%fair 1.37
Manchester City to score91%fair 1.10
RB Leipzig clean sheet9%fair 11.24
Manchester City clean sheet27%fair 3.70
RB Leipzig to win to nil8%fair 12.20
Manchester City to win to nil25%fair 4.03
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.2%
1-17.6%
1-37.4%
0-27%
2-26%
0-15.8%
Half-time / full-time
Manchester City / Manchester City41%
Draw / Manchester City16.8%
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig11.1%
Draw / Draw9.3%
Draw / RB Leipzig6.6%
Questions about RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
The model gives Manchester City the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 71% backs the same picture with less variance.
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. RB Leipzig find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Manchester City in 91%.
When is RB Leipzig vs Manchester City and where is the result shown?
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City starts at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.