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Live 14 UTC
Superliga Round 12 Sunday, 25 October 2026 FT
AC HorsensHomeDDWLL
5:1Half-time 3:1
SonderjyskeAwayWLWL
412633
AC Horsens winDrawSonderjyske win
Kick-off
Sun 25 Oct
Expected goals
3.00
1.59 : 1.41
Favourite
41%
AC Horsens
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
62%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.383.402.811.722.051.572.26Bet
22Bet2.543.542.661.682.191.562.43Bet
BC.Game2.463.502.681.642.141.532.34Bet
Betwinner2.543.542.661.742.091.562.43Bet
Melbet2.543.542.661.682.191.562.43Bet
Stake2.483.552.651.632.191.542.32Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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AC Horsens to win partner prices

Betwinner pay the best AC Horsens price at 2.54, Stake lead the draw at 3.55 and 1xBet have Sonderjyske longest at 2.81.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.9%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.74 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.19 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (1xBet) and no 2.43 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

AC Horsens or Sonderjyske (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.59 : 1.41-4.2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.74
BTTSBoth teams to score
62% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AC Horsens, full-time AC Horsens
25% chance3.95fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair

AC Horsens v Sonderjyske head to head

1AC Horsens wins
0Draws
0Sonderjyske wins
  • 6 Sep 26Sonderjyske2:5AC Horsens

1 meeting since coverage began, 7 goals in total: AC Horsens scored 5, Sonderjyske scored 2.

AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske prediction

AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske prediction, who wins and at what price

AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske prediction for the Superliga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes AC Horsens marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 26% and Sonderjyske at 33%.

Expected goals are 1.59 for AC Horsens and 1.41 for Sonderjyske, a total of 3.00, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 62%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske is aC Horsens or Sonderjyske (no draw), a 74% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske.

Form check: AC Horsens have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Sonderjyske 2 of 4 scoring 9 and conceding 10.

How many goals in AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.74 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 62%: AC Horsens find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sonderjyske in 76%. AC Horsens keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Sonderjyske 20%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 2-1 at 8.9% and 1-0 at 7.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AC Horsens, full-time AC Horsens leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

AC Horsens to win41%2.54
Draw26%3.55
Sonderjyske to win33%2.81
AC Horsens, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Sonderjyske, draw no bet44%fair 2.25

Double chance

AC Horsens or draw67%1.48
Sonderjyske or draw59%1.54
AC Horsens or Sonderjyske (no draw)74%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.19
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score62%1.57
Not both teams to score38%2.43

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

AC Horsens to score80%fair 1.26
Sonderjyske to score76%fair 1.32
AC Horsens clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Sonderjyske clean sheet20%fair 4.90
AC Horsens to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Sonderjyske to win to nil19%fair 5.32

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-18.9%
1-07.9%
1-27.9%
0-17%
2-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

AC Horsens / AC Horsens25.3%
Sonderjyske / Sonderjyske19.9%
Draw / AC Horsens13.9%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Sonderjyske11.7%

Questions about AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske

Who is favourite in AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske?

The model gives AC Horsens the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske?

The BTTS yes line is rated 62%. AC Horsens find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sonderjyske in 76%.

What time does AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske kick off?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AC Horsens v SonderjyskeAC Horsens or Sonderjyske (no draw), 74%
1.30Bet