Superliga
AC HorsensHomeDDWLL
0:0Half-time 0:0
Randers FCAwayLLDLL352639
AC Horsens winDrawRanders FC win
AC HorsensHomeDDWLLRanders FCAwayLLDLL- Kick-off Fri 16 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.97 1.43 : 1.54
- Favourite
- 40% Randers FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
AC Horsens vs Randers FC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.54 | 2.36 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Randers FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction: AC Horsens 2.75 (1xBet), draw 3.54 (1xBet), Randers FC 2.36 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.70 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
AC Horsens or Randers FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.70
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Randers FC, full-time Randers FC
24% chance4.15fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.36fair
AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction
AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction, who wins and at what price
The AC Horsens vs Randers FC prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Superliga on Friday, 16 October 2026 gives AC Horsens a 35% chance, Randers FC 40% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.43 for AC Horsens and 1.54 for Randers FC, a total of 2.97, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 61%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is aC Horsens or Randers FC (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on AC Horsens vs Randers FC.
Form check: AC Horsens have won 1 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Randers FC 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 11.
AC Horsens vs Randers FC goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.70 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from AC Horsens scoring in 76% of runs and Randers FC in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for AC Horsens and 24% for Randers FC.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Randers FC, full-time Randers FC leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, AC Horsens vs Randers FC
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 26% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
AC Horsens to win35%2.75
Draw26%3.54
Randers FC to win40%2.36
AC Horsens, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Randers FC, draw no bet53%fair 1.87
Double chance
AC Horsens or draw61%1.55
Randers FC or draw66%1.42
AC Horsens or Randers FC (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals57%1.70
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.56
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.90
Under 2.5 goals43%2.08
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.53
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.28
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.59
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
AC Horsens to score76%fair 1.31
Randers FC to score79%fair 1.27
AC Horsens clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Randers FC clean sheet24%fair 4.18
AC Horsens to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Randers FC to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-17.9%
1-07.3%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Randers FC / Randers FC24.1%
AC Horsens / AC Horsens20.8%
Draw / Draw13.7%
Draw / Randers FC13.5%
Draw / AC Horsens12.1%
Questions about AC Horsens vs Randers FC
Who will win AC Horsens vs Randers FC?
The model gives Randers FC the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
AC Horsens vs Randers FC correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in AC Horsens vs Randers FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. AC Horsens find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Randers FC in 79%.
When do AC Horsens play Randers FC?
Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.