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Live 6 UTC
1. Division Round 9 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
AEK LarnacaHomeWDWWD
Fri 6 Nov
KarmiotissaAwayDLLLW
632116
AEK Larnaca winDrawKarmiotissa win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
2.86
1.98 : 0.88
Favourite
63%
AEK Larnaca
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

63%

Our prediction

AEK Larnaca to win
BankerExpected goals 1.98 : 0.88
1.58fair
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw
84% chance1.19fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.98fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time AEK Larnaca, full-time AEK Larnaca
41% chance2.45fair

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa prediction

Our AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa prediction and pick

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa prediction for the 1. Division on Friday, 6 November 2026: the model makes AEK Larnaca the clear favourite at 63%, with the draw at 21% and Karmiotissa at 16%.

AEK Larnaca are expected to score 1.98 and Karmiotissa 0.88, so the total line is 2.86 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

AEK Larnaca to win is the main selection, rated 63%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

AEK Larnaca or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 84% chance.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches AEK Larnaca stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Karmiotissa show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

How many goals in AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 68%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.

BTTS yes stands at 50%. AEK Larnaca score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Karmiotissa; Karmiotissa score in 59% while AEK Larnaca shut them out 42% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 11.3%, then 2-0 at 11.2% and 1-1 at 10%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time AEK Larnaca, full-time AEK Larnaca leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

AEK Larnaca to win63%fair 1.58
Draw21%fair 4.76
Karmiotissa to win16%fair 6.29
AEK Larnaca, draw no bet80%fair 1.25
Karmiotissa, draw no bet20%fair 4.98

Double chance

AEK Larnaca or draw84%fair 1.19
Karmiotissa or draw37%fair 2.71
AEK Larnaca or Karmiotissa (no draw)79%fair 1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score50%fair 1.98
Not both teams to score50%fair 2.02

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

AEK Larnaca to score86%fair 1.16
Karmiotissa to score59%fair 1.71
AEK Larnaca clean sheet42%fair 2.41
Karmiotissa clean sheet14%fair 7.25
AEK Larnaca to win to nil38%fair 2.62
Karmiotissa to win to nil13%fair 7.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-011.3%
2-011.2%
1-110%
2-19.9%
3-07.4%
3-16.5%

Half-time / full-time

AEK Larnaca / AEK Larnaca40.8%
Draw / AEK Larnaca19.3%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Karmiotissa / Karmiotissa8.7%
Draw / Karmiotissa6.2%

Questions about AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?

The model gives AEK Larnaca the best chance at 63%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa correct score: what does the model say?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. AEK Larnaca find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Karmiotissa in 59%.

What time does AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa kick off?

Kick-off is 17:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, AEK Larnaca v KarmiotissaAEK Larnaca to win, 63%
1.58fair