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First NL Round 10 Monday, 26 October 2026 FT
Mladost ŽdraloviHomeLWLWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Jadran LPAwayWDDLD
422632
Mladost Ždralovi winDrawJadran LP win
Kick-off
Mon 26 Oct
Expected goals
2.73
1.48 : 1.25
Favourite
42%
Mladost Ždralovi
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.153.242.991.821.851.652.07Bet
22Bet2.153.242.991.821.851.652.07Bet
BC.Game2.163.352.961.851.861.672.00Bet
Betwinner2.153.242.991.821.851.652.07Bet
Melbet2.153.242.991.821.851.652.07Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mladost Ždralovi to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP prediction: Mladost Ždralovi 2.16 (BC.Game), draw 3.35 (BC.Game), Jadran LP 2.99 (1xBet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.85 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 1.86 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (BC.Game) and no 2.07 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Mladost Ždralovi or Jadran LP (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.48 : 1.25-8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.85
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mladost Ždralovi, full-time Mladost Ždralovi
25% chance3.94fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP prediction

Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP prediction, who wins and at what price

Mladost Ždralovi host Jadran LP on Monday, 26 October 2026 in the First NL, and the model has Mladost Ždralovi at 42%, the draw at 26% and Jadran LP at 32%: that is the Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.73 in total, split 1.48 to Mladost Ždralovi and 1.25 to Jadran LP. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 56%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Mladost Ždralovi or Jadran LP (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Mladost Ždralovi have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 5 conceded, Jadran LP 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 7.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.85 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 56%: Mladost Ždralovi find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Jadran LP in 71%. Mladost Ždralovi keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Jadran LP 23%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 1-0 at 9.7% and 2-1 at 8.9%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mladost Ždralovi, full-time Mladost Ždralovi leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Mladost Ždralovi to win42%2.16
Draw26%3.35
Jadran LP to win32%2.99
Mladost Ždralovi, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Jadran LP, draw no bet43%fair 2.33

Double chance

Mladost Ždralovi or draw68%1.31
Jadran LP or draw58%1.57
Mladost Ždralovi or Jadran LP (no draw)74%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.85
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%1.86
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.07

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Mladost Ždralovi to score77%fair 1.30
Jadran LP to score71%fair 1.40
Mladost Ždralovi clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Jadran LP clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Mladost Ždralovi to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Jadran LP to win to nil21%fair 4.78

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
0-18.2%
1-27.5%
2-07.1%

Half-time / full-time

Mladost Ždralovi / Mladost Ždralovi25.4%
Jadran LP / Jadran LP18.5%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Mladost Ždralovi14.6%
Draw / Jadran LP11.6%

Questions about Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP

Mladost Ždralovi or Jadran LP: which side does the model back?

The model gives Mladost Ždralovi the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Mladost Ždralovi find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Jadran LP in 71%.

When do Mladost Ždralovi play Jadran LP?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Mladost Ždralovi v Jadran LPMladost Ždralovi or Jadran LP (no draw), 74%
1.25Bet