Costa Rica Primera División
Puntarenas FCHomeDLWWD
Thu 5 Nov
San CarlosAwayWLDWL422830
Puntarenas FC winDrawSan Carlos win
Puntarenas FCHomeDLWWDSan CarlosAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.56 1.40 : 1.16
- Favourite
- 42% Puntarenas FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.16 | 2.98 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.20 | 3.16 | 2.98 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.20 | 3.16 | 2.98 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.20 | 3.16 | 2.98 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Puntarenas FC to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos prediction: Puntarenas FC 2.20 (22Bet), draw 3.16 (22Bet), San Carlos 2.98 (22Bet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (22Bet) and no 1.96 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Puntarenas FC or San Carlos (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Puntarenas FC, full-time Puntarenas FC
25% chance3.97fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos prediction
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos prediction and best bet
The Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos prediction leans to Puntarenas FC: 42% against 30% for San Carlos, with 28% left for the draw, in the Costa Rica Primera División on Thursday, 5 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.40 for Puntarenas FC and 1.16 for San Carlos, a total of 2.56, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is puntarenas FC or San Carlos (no draw) at 72%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 7 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos.
Form check: Puntarenas FC have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 7 conceded, San Carlos 2 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 9.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 22Bet pay 1.75.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Puntarenas FC score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for San Carlos; San Carlos score in 69% while Puntarenas FC shut them out 31% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos: 1-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-1 (9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Puntarenas FC, full-time Puntarenas FC leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 42% / 28% / 30% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Puntarenas FC to win42%2.20
Draw28%3.16
San Carlos to win30%2.98
Puntarenas FC, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
San Carlos, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Double chance
Puntarenas FC or draw70%1.30
San Carlos or draw58%1.53
Puntarenas FC or San Carlos (no draw)72%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%1.93
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals53%1.75
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%1.96
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Puntarenas FC to score75%fair 1.33
San Carlos to score69%fair 1.46
Puntarenas FC clean sheet31%fair 3.19
San Carlos clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Puntarenas FC to win to nil29%fair 3.47
San Carlos to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-010.8%
0-19%
2-18.8%
0-07.7%
2-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Puntarenas FC / Puntarenas FC25.2%
San Carlos / San Carlos17.8%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / Puntarenas FC15%
Draw / San Carlos11.6%
Questions about Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos
Puntarenas FC or San Carlos: which side does the model back?
The model gives Puntarenas FC the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Puntarenas FC find the net in 75% of simulated matches and San Carlos in 69%.
When do Puntarenas FC play San Carlos?
Kick-off is 00:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.